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Thursday, April 17, 2014

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I think Burnett will be so gutsy that his guts will be literally popping out of his stomach.

You know...because of the hernia.

A.J. Burnett in 2014

IP Pitches % Strikes Walks
6 97 64% 2
5.2 106 56% 6
4.1 109 50% 6

This could get ugly.

But not as ugly as my formatting, yeesh.

thanks, mike. if i may repost:

where is matt stairs? mysterious flu-like ilness? or did comcast actually realize he does not have the voice instrument for broadcasting?

I think today is Joel Hanrahan's pitching session for interested teams. Hoping Ruben has sent a contingent from the team.

Thank you for a new game thread, Mike, and the "Jump to newest comments" link.

I'm expecting the sweep. Don't like AJ pitching with a hernia to the Braves. His walks (thanks for the numbers, WSJ) will hurt us.

But I hope Gattis doesn't play. That would help.

Sometimes the Phillies win games like this.

> Thank you for a new game thread, Mike, and the
> "Jump to newest comments" link.

More like missing link.

At least Gattis can't hit a HR today. Already has a line early career line at CBP after last night:

6 G, 8-24 (.333) with 5 HRs and a 1.343 OPS

Overall numbers vs Phils

.319/.385/.787 (1.172 OPS) with 7 HRs in 12 G

Forget to add Gattis is an early 'watch' candidate for 'Philly Killer' list.

Only has 52 PAs against them though. Wait until the end of next year at least to see if he is a nominee to the 'PHilly Killer' list.

Pflargh. Last night was tough to take, but sometimes you do just come up against a great pitcher who's on his game.

If there's some consolation, it's that we probably don't see him in a Braves uniform past 2020 (his age 29! season), because he's already costing them $11-$12MM that year, and they'll have to do some major player replacement (at their usual sub-prime salary levels) in the 2019-2021 period.

So, you know, only 5-6 more years of getting dominated by him.

Kind of like the offensive equivalent of our arms being unable to stop the Brewers, who are now sitting on the best record in baseball (11-4, after finally losing 2 of 3 to the Cardinals).

Not to say our arms are great, but... They were blowing everybody away.

Revere CF
Rollins SS
Utley 2B
Byrd RF
Mayberry 1B
Brown LF
Nieves C
Nix 3B
Burnett SP

Mayberry, Nieves, Nix in today's lineup. Sweet. At least there's no Gattis.

Dickie: maybe the jtnc link comes alive after the first page is full.

B-R.com finally added FIP to the standard stats page for all pitchers.

Cool.

Fun story: Even after last night, Teheren is still 4th out of 5 Atlanta Braves SP in ERA+

Santana: 630
Harang: 417
Wood: 212 (that should be fun today)
Teheren: 207
Hale: 147 (freaking bum)

Oh brother. Sandberg just can't find enough ways to get Jayson Nix into the lineup.

Harang is a marginal starter at best and his numbers will level out.

Santana though was a nice late signing by the Braves (1 yr/$14M) and he will almost certainly outpitch Burnett this year.

Still baffles me how the Phils potentially missed yet another medical issue though with a player. In this case, Burnett's hernia.

bap - I see what you did there.

I highly doubt they missed it. They probably just thought it was something he could play through...which he is doing and was probably doing last year as well.

also vexing is that aj never had the source of his pain diagnosed despite dealing with it for some time. especially in the off-season.

"bap - I see what you did there."

You do? Enlighten me, because even I don't know what I did.

Really tired of seeing "Nix" in a Phillies starting lineup.

Oh, I think I get it. It was the, "Oh brother" comment.

While I'd like to claim credit for making a clever double entendre, I'm afraid it was not intentional. "Oh brother" just happened to be the phrase which sprung to mind when I saw our crappy utility infielder making yet another start.

"Oh brother" just happened to be the phrase which sprung to mind when I saw our crappy utility infielder making yet another start.

Posted by: bay_area_phan | Thursday, April 17, 2014 at 11:40 AM
-------------------------------------------

BAP: In this instance, I know which player you are referring to. But in the future, please be more specific than "our crappy utility infielder"; there is curently more than one such player on the Phils.

Today's lineup really brings home the point that having 2 no-hit utility infielders does far more harm than good. Nix isn't in today's lineup because of need and he isn't in the lineup because he's a better fit for today's lineup than Asche or Galvis. He's in today's lineup because he's there, & Sandberg feels like he has to find something for him to do. That's truly the only reason.

Why is Nix EVER getting a start ahead of Galvis?????

Neither can hit, but at least Galvis is going to give you very solid, sometimes spectacular D. Nix flat out stinks.

Just a total headscratcher. Nix, just another useless body that this team comes up with year after year.

This lineup doesn't inspire confidence.

* * *

Corey Seidman ‏@CoreySeidman 3m
Most games of 8+ IP, 2 run or less, and no win, since 2010:

Cliff Lee, 13
Felix Hernandez, 13
Cole Hamels, 11

* * *
It's no surprise that Hamels is on this list with Lee. This list illustrates the obvious fact that great pitching is more effective with some offense.

(I wonder how many of those games were lost when the BP came into the game, or how many times those aces faced another ace pitcher.)

GBrett, you mean real aces, or pitchers moonlighting as aces vs the Phils?

I meant real aces, Five-4-One, but the latter did occur to me.

13 pitches, only 1 walk. Nice.

There is a "Jump to Newest Comments" notation at the bottom of the thread, but there's no actual link. It just appears in regular black font, like the rest of the header.

For now, it's no matter. I doubt we'll get more than 100 posts for a daygame thread. But it might be inconvenient when the same thread is being used 3 days from now.

GBF: "13 pitches, only 1 walk. Nice."

Beerleaguer is turning you into a cynic.

The Braves lineup cracks me up.

Adding back Gattis, I'm pretty sure that the bottom of the lineup is better than the top.

Essentially, Heyward and Upton are black holes. They really have no options otherwise, since they have almost no speed other than these 2.

1 and 2 don't really fear you, however getting through the bottom can be tricky.

Damn!

BAP, I think it's the Phillies doing that.

Sadly, Marlon Byrd has been every bit as terrible as I expected him to be.

If only Freddy hadn't caught that Rollins line drive, we'd have a run now. Oh, well.

Pitch count up to 31, but no walks. Burnett's doing well. Didn't he get a cortisone shot for the pain? I think I read that.

Impressive AB from Mayberry.

Nice catch by Upton. Unfortunately for us. Braves showing how good defense helps.

So, Cody Asche is one half of a 3B platoon, Freddy Galvis is a quarter, and Jayson Nix is a quarter?

Is that what we're doing now?

Byrd has been an improvement defensively over what they had out there last year but offensively he's been mediocre at best so far.

Pretty much what I expect the rest of the year too with maybe some streaky spurts of offensive here and there.

Burnett has been crap again today and his curve has been mediocre at best.

Only a question of when the Braves get to him. Hopefully not a multi-run HR.

That was pitch number 45 for A.J. Burnett; his effectiveness may start slipping, as he holds opposing hitters to a .273 average in the first 45 pitches but they hit .381 off him after that.

Interesting tidbit from the MLB gamecast. Delivered just as Burnett walks the pitcher.

Alex Wood, the Braves' SP, is 23 years old. He was the 85th pick of the 2012 draft. He waltzed through the minors, pitching only 114 innings over parts of 2 seasons, and posting a 1.73 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. He is 1 of only 5 players from the 2012 draft to reach the majors and 1 of only 2 who has been successful. In his first 96 major league innings, he has an ERA of 2.89, a FIP of 2.97, a WHIP of 1.28 and a K/9 of 8.8.

With the 40th pick in that same draft, the Phillies took Shane Watson, who has a 4.44 ERA in 79 innings at low A and in the GCL. With the 54th pick, the Phillies took Mitch Gueller, who has a 5.67 ERA a 1.716 WHIP in 85 innings in the 2 rookie leagues and is already being called a bust.

Does Brown have mental lapses in the field defensively? I seriously wonder at times including that WTF throw that was badly overthrown and off-target. No need to do either there.

I'm ready for the Phillies to score. Oh, wait. It's Nix, Burnett and Revere. Well, maybe Revere slaps a 2-out single and Rollins hits another single. Followed by an Utley HR. That would be nice.

I have no explanation for Brown, MG. He is inexplicably inconsistent.

Ben Davis ‏@bendaviscsn 2m
@JSalisburyCSN Is there a stat for full counts by a starting rotation? Phillies have to be at the top!

This offense since last night has looked a lot like last year's unit. Overmatched with a lot of weak contact, a bunch of Ks, and not many BBs.

Haha, Burnett walked Wood and now Wood gives up a hit to Burnett.

Gee, BAP, thanks for the thoroughly depressing article you just posted.

Please continue regaling us with stories of quality late round draft picks by teams such as the Braves/Rays/Cards/BoSox, while the Phils continue to waste picks year after year. (Nothing makes me more angry than people blaming the farm system and talent woes on bad draft position).

After all, as RAJ said, this is a SCOUTING organization.

That was NOT how I scripted your AB, Revere.

Just glad Burnett didn't trip over his intestines.

I don't know why the Phillies don't try to hire the Braves and Cardinals scouting and development people away from those organizations.

Contact vs. Ks

So overrrated.

gbrett: Going into today's game, the Phillies are tied for 23rd in the league with 67 full counts reached.

The whitesox lead the league with 108.

Further proof that what Ben Davis thinks is usually wrong.

Yeah but does Alex Wood have raw tools?

GBrett: RAJ thinks the Phillies' scouts are the best in the business. He has actually said so.

"Going into today's game, the Phillies are tied for 23rd in the league with 67 full counts reached."

By the time this game is over, we will have caught the WhiteSox.

The Whitesox walked 15 batters yesterday, including a couple from their back up 2B.

Dickie,

I'm thinking by the time this one's over, Wood's tool(s) will be plenty raw, seeing as the Phils seem rather compliant.

Further proof that what Ben Davis thinks is usually wrong.

Ben Davis is a moron, since way back.

I'm glad I'm not a White Sox fan, then.

Phillies' pitchers are 26th in ERA, tied for 6th in HRs allowed and tied for 9th in BB.

I loathe Marlon Byrd.

3 DPs in 4 IP - pretty hard to do.

Sure would've been nice to have Brown up there with 1 on and 1 out instead of Byrd with Mayberry on deck.

Meanwhile, the Phillies are 24th in fielding percentage.

Our offense is doing fine, though.

The PHI/ATL starters this series are on pace to have pretty ridiculous numbers. And the relievers and equally ridiculous line on the other end of the spectrum.

Rats. I had already typed up my "Another walk to the opposing pitcher" post. Now it goes to waste.

As we are at break, here's a random question: do any ball players actually "chatter" anymore?

Shocked that is game is still scoreless.

Seems the brief honeymoon of good Phillies offense is now at an end. Glad we took full advantage of it with that 11-game winning streak.

Nieves is trying to bunt? Dumba$$.


Seems the brief honeymoon of good Phillies offense is now at an end. Glad we took full advantage of it with that 11-game winning streak.

Posted by: bay_area_phan | Thursday, April 17, 2014 at 02:33 PM

Don't worry; when Burnett goes out in the sixth inning with the score still 0-0 and Rosenberg or Garcia proceeds to give up seven runs, it'll all be the bullpen's fault, not the offense's(even though the offense will continue to be shut out in the remaining innings).

Imagine my surprise to see Burnett hasn't given up a run through 6 while MG complains about his pitching.

His inability to actually judge the quality of pitching has been BL staple from the start.

AJ Burnett now has a higher batting average than Jayson Nix.

Just sayin'...

Revere bunts for a hit = good
Revere gets caught stealing = not so good

Like you been saying, Allen, bullpen is just fine. No worries there.

Ugh. Erases a nice job of bunting for a hit.

I can understand why people are down on Revere as a player although he has done a better job so far as a baserunner this year.

Nice catch!

Don't worry; when Burnett goes out in the sixth inning with the score still 0-0 and Rosenberg or Garcia proceeds to give up seven runs, it'll all be the bullpen's fault, not the offense's(even though the offense will continue to be shut out in the remaining innings
****************

You're forgetting the part where the offense suddenly scores 3 runs in the 8th or 9th when we're already down 7....and we lose 7-3.

Looks like a great catch until you realize Revere broke the wrong way yet again.

Clout: I don't see why this is so hard for you to comprehend.

THE WHOLE TEAM STINKS. The offense, pitching, and defense will all finish the season below-average. The only part of the team that may be above-average, at least when Hamels returns, is the starting pitching. The rest of it all stinks.

The offense and bullpen are not mutually exclusive. They both can suck, and in fact, they do. I recognize that the offense has been surprisingly good the first couple weeks. It will not last. It will be a bad offense, and the bullpen will be bad, and the defense will be bad.


Like you been saying, Allen, bullpen is just fine. No worries there.

Posted by: clout | Thursday, April 17, 2014 at 02:50 PM

I have never said the bullpen's fine; it stinks, just like the offense stinks. Unlike you, I find it possible to admit that more than one factor can contribute to a team's poor play. Let me ask you this: do you believe that if we could "fix" the bullpen, the Phillies would be an 85 or 90 win team? You always write as if you think so--and if you do, you are seriously delusional.

Revere's value to the team is dependent on him hitting .300 or better. If he can develop his bunting skills to the point where he adds 10-12 hits a year, he'll definitely hit .300 and higher.

Iceman - Burnett hasn't great today or had great stuff. He has actually been better the last 2 innings.

That cortisone shot must have really helped. Seven shutout innings from Burnett today! Impressive.

Come on, offense, step it up! Because the BP will be taking over, I have a feeling.


Looks like a great catch until you realize Revere broke the wrong way yet again.

Posted by: MG | Thursday, April 17, 2014 at 02:54 PM

So...he went to the Jim Edmunds School of Outfield Defense then?

Adams in the 8th?

Come on, Mayberry!

If they lose this 1-0 again I'm taking a long-ass break from baseball and focus on NHL/NBA

Or not.


* * *

awh: Bastardo's warming up.

Thanks GBF.

JMJ graceful as a gazelle. Even Franske and LA are snickering.

While Burnett did so much better than I expected, this still feels like a loss.

Come ON, Brown! Please charge him with an error.

I didn't think the defense could get worse this year. Looks like it has.

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