Tonight's matchup is Kyle Kendrick vs. Homer Bailey. Both pitchers are 1-1 with an ERA over 5.00. Bailey, though, has really put it together in his last 10 starts dating back to Sept.-Oct. 2012. He has a 2.36 ERA and .169 opponents' batting average over that span.
Bailey has a mid-90s fastball, a slider, curve and split. He uses the fastball most of the time, but turns to the slider when ahead vs. righties and the splitter when ahead vs. lefties.
Bailey's slider had the second-most vertical break in baseball last season, to Clayton Kershaw. The opposition hit .170 off the pitch. They're hitting .227 off his fastball through two starts this year.
Bailey pitches very well out of the windup. He had the second-lowest WHIP (0.89) in baseball last season against batters leading off an inning. Interestingly, two of his rotation-mates were among the best in that category, as well. Johnny Cueto was first and Bronson Arroyo was fifth. Arroyo retired six of eight Phillies leadoff batters last night.
Bailey (0-3, 5.29) has struggled against the Phillies.
Kendrick hasn't fared much better against the Reds. He has a 5.71 ERA at Great American Ball Park, and active Reds are batting .368 off him.
The Cincy lefties have especially hurt Kendrick. Choo, Votto and Bruce are a combined 11 for 24 with five homers and two doubles.
There's a 50% chance of precipitation in Cincinnati from game time until 10 p.m. The Phils don't travel to Cincy again this season, so there should be some urgency to get this one in. Then again, a day-night doubleheader could always be scheduled for Wednesday in the event of a rainout.
1) Ben Revere, CF
2) Jimmy Rollins, SS
3) Chase Utley, 2B
4) Ryan Howard, 1B
5) Michael Young, 3B
6) Domonic Brown, LF
7) Laynce Nix, RF
8) Humberto Quintero, C
9) Kyle Kendrick, P