Over the last two seasons, Michael Young regularly batted in the middle of the order for the Rangers. But with the Phillies, he’s likely to move back to the No. 2 hole, where he’s hit more than anywhere else in his career.
The
Phillies’ offseason should be far from finished (could Josh Hamilton be coming
to town?), and even Charlie Manuel recognizes whether or not the club makes a
move for a corner outfielder will determine where his newest pieces fit in his
lineup.
“I could sit there and go over lineups all I want to. But when it gets down to it, who we have on the corners in the outfield will dictate where our lineup falls,” Manuel told reporters, including the Philadelphia Inquirer's Matt Gelb, Monday at Citizens Bank Park.
But it’s still worth examining where the new guys could fit in now. Today, we’ll look at Michael Young. In Texas, the seven-time All-Star hit fifth or sixth in 80 percent of his starts last year, but over the course of his career, he’s batted second more than anywhere else — and that’s likely where Manuel will slot him.
Jimmy Rollins should lead off again, barring an unforeseen shift in Manuel’s philosophy on how best to use the shortstop. Chase Utley and Ryan Howard, both left-handed bats, should regularly hit third and fourth again as well. Since 2010, Utley has hit in the No. 3 hole in 92 percent of the games he’s started, and Howard has batted nothing but cleanup over that span.
However, Young — a right-handed bat — could provoke Manuel to split up the lefty-lefty duo he’s been so reluctant to break up in the past. The third baseman has batted third often throughout his career, including 14 times last season and 30 times in 2011.
The more likely scenario, though, is to slot Young second between Rollins and Utley. He hits for average and doesn’t strike out often — he went down swinging just once every 9.3 plate appearances last year. But he also doesn’t generate a tremendous amount of power — his home run total has dipped in each of the past four seasons, to a career-low eight in 2012.
As the roster stands now, where would you hit Young?




Ruiz or Kratz also matters alot when making lineups.
Posted by: lorecore | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 11:55 AM
***NEPP: Not sure--the limited Fangraphs search I did only gave me some basic stats with men on base. Not sure if I can dig any deeper.***
From the last thread, did some checking Jack...Howard was 6th among 1B (or 4th if you dont count Miguel Cabrera and Youkilis who split time at 3B during that period of 2006-2012. That's for both OPS and wOBA with Men On.
If you do a cutoff of 1500 PA as a miniumum, he was 6th overall in baseball for OPS and 7th for wOBA...for hitting with Men on from 2006-2012.
Fairly elite with men on base and decidedly not that top tier if you go bases empty. (he's in the high 20s overall in that category)
Posted by: NEPP | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 11:56 AM
Swisher at 4/60 is still a better bet than Hamilton at 4/80. That's $5m extra this year and beyond to boost the bullpen and rotation, combined with a much lower risk that the contract will turn into a massive black hole. Silly to argue about intangibles, but the drama issue Jack mentions is real too. More importantly, Swisher is better against LHP than Hamilton.
Posted by: fumphis | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:00 PM
It would have been nice to flip Galvis, Schwimmer, & Jiwan James for Trevor Bauer. That's a better package that what Arizona ended up with, isn't it?
Posted by: jbird | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:00 PM
They have to break up Utley and Howard. The late inning LH specialists have killed them in recent years. If Utley still hit like a true #3 hitter, maybe it would be tough to move him to #2. But I don't think we can expect Utley to hit with any more pop than Young this year. If that's the case, break up the two lefties. Make opposing managers decide among (a) letting Utley or Howard hit against a righty, (b) letting Young (or the new presumably right-hand hitting RF) hit against the lefty, or (c) using up two lefty specialists in one time through the order.
Posted by: MDK | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:01 PM
NEPP: Yeah, and the other point was that he's 6th in all of baseball in PAs with men on base.
So the fact is he has come up in those opporunities a lot, and he's done fairly well when they have. Which is good.
By the way, all players see a bump in their stats when guys are on base, but it does seem to be particularly pronounced with Howard. He's a poor hitter with nobody on base, and a very good hitter with men on base. Most of those other guys go between good and very good. It's odd, and I don't think it can all be explained by the shift.
Posted by: Jack | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:03 PM
I'd bat Young 2nd hoping for a bounce back. If he doesn't respond, you adjust.
Revere
Young
Utley
FA
Howard
Rollins
Chooch
Brown
Posted by: jbird | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:03 PM
"I'm sure he hits 10x better than Galvis, but thats really doesn't say much."
lorecore - the reason I asked for a scouting opinion is that Didi's MiLB numbers are not that much better than Galvis' recently ("recently" is key here since Galvis didn't hit a lick until Reading).
age 21
AA .273/.326/.400
AAA .298/.315/.364
A+ .303/.333/.457
AA .270/.312/.392
Posted by: Sophist | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:05 PM
Sickles posted his top 20 Astros list. Relevant writeups:
2) Jonathan Singleton, 1B, Grade B+: Impressed with his power and patience, but his defense is deteriorating already and I see him as more of a masher than a complete hitter. Still an elite guy. I think Springer is a more complete player but Singleton is two years younger, which matters.
4) Jarred Cosart, RHP, Grade B: His talent is obvious but he's frustrating too. Awesome stuff with power sinker, hard curve, but his command comes and goes and he's not as dominant as he should be with his quality arm. Needs 100 innings in Triple-A to work more kinks out.
10) Domingo Santana, OF, Grade B-: I think he made real progress in the Cal League at age 19/20 and it isn't all a statistical illusion. He's got some holes that need to be closed up, but he's made improvements and power upside is very high. Keep his age in mind.
Posted by: jbird | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:10 PM
They have to break up Utley and Howard.
Everyone on the face of the planet agrees w/ this, save for one Charles Fuqua Manuel, Jr.
Unfortunately, he happens to be the one making the lineup. Utley will bat 3rd. Howard will bat 4th.
The End.
Posted by: GTown_Dave | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:14 PM
Personally, I thought the knock on Singleton previously was that he wasn't a "masher" and was more of a mid-20's homerun "complete hitter".
Posted by: jbird | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:17 PM
Why not Revere, Young, Rollins, Howard, Utley? Get Revere on and let the rest knock him home. If you are worried about the matchups, go Revere, Young, Utley, Rollins, Howard.
Posted by: Shawnboy112 | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:18 PM
GTown: Agreed with your 12:14
I imagine the the lineup will look like this:
1. Rollins
2. Young
3. Utley
4. Howard
5. FA OF
6. Ruiz*
7. Brown*
8. Revere
9. Pitcher
*Until Ruiz is back, 6. Brown, 7. Kratz/Quintero
Posted by: R.Billingsly | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:18 PM
If Young Doesn't bat 2nd, Doesn't he really have to end up hitting 7th or 8th (depending on if Revere bats leadoff or not). What if the back half of our lineup ends up
Brown
Young
Revere
Pitcher
All those guys have a fairly significant probability of struggling with the bat this year (Revere with power). That has the possibility of a wretched back half of the lineup if things go sideways.
Posted by: jbird | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:22 PM
I'd love to see Utley bat second, but it's tough to say who goes third. Why can't Howard bat third? Will the world end if that happens or something? Don't you want your best hitters getting the most ABs?
Rollins
Utley
Howard
Ruiz
FA OF
Brown/Ruf
Young
Revere
Posted by: danomyte | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:25 PM
Has Sickels posted his Phillies list for 2013? Just wondering where Darin Mark Trumbo Ruf is on that list?
Posted by: Sneed | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:25 PM
The only way that Utley bats 2nd is if we sign Hamilton or Swisher and they bat 3rd.
Posted by: NEPP | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:27 PM
jbird: Agreed. I fear a situation in which Charlie decides Young is his #5 hitter. Better to gamble on bottom third, I think.
Posted by: GTown_Dave | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:28 PM
I'm not taking any lineup seriously that has Revere leading off.
Posted by: Jack | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:28 PM
NEPP: I'm speaking completely independent of what Cholly will do. More of a baseball question overall: could someone like Howard not bat 3rd because of a reason other than "well he's a cleanup hitter" ...does it simply have to do with footspeed? I feel like I want my best hitters to hit as soon as possible, which is why, with the team as constructed, I'd want Rollins-Utley-Howard-Ruiz up first.
Posted by: danomyte | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:30 PM
The only reason you brought Revere here was for defense and to steal bases...you don't put a base stealer in front of the pitcher for fear of running into an out and not getting past the pitcher...you almost have to bat him lead off because you can't bat Revere second
Posted by: AJ | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:32 PM
NEPP, that's what I want. Utley 2 with the switchhitting Swisher sandwiched between him and Howard. For some reason though the Phillies have no interest in Swisher. Probably because he'd actually be a good fit.
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:33 PM
AJ: Well, that's why I would bat the pitcher 8th and Revere 9th. But I understand that would blow Charlie's mind.
Posted by: Jack | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:33 PM
If the season were to start today, this would likely be the lineup:
SS Rollins
CF Revere
2B Utley
1B Howard
LF Nix
3B Young
RF Brown
C Kratz
(Pitcher)
Whether that's a good thing is another story.
Posted by: NEPP | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:33 PM
Yeah I hear you AJ but Charlie still has a lot of those kinkos lineup card copies with Rollins at the top. He has to use them all up first before we get some out-of-the-box thinking.
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:34 PM
Nix hitting 5th. Damn, I'm in lot M now tailgating if anyone wants to join.
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:34 PM
***you almost have to bat him lead off because you can't bat Revere second***
Revere primarily bat 2nd for the Twins last year.
Posted by: NEPP | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:35 PM
joe d: Charlie moved rollins out of leadoff as way way way back as last year.
Posted by: lorecore | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:37 PM
I know lorecore and that was almost out of necessity. It's not like it was a strategic thing for Charlie. But I guess we could see it again because Utley probably won't be with the team to start the year.
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:38 PM
Actually, against LHP I'd go with
1) Revere/CF
2) Young/3B
3) Utley/2B
4) Howard/1B
5) Ruiz/C
6) Rollins/SS
7) Brown/LF
8) Mayberry/RF
9) P
Against RHP, move Brown to 6 in LF, Rollins to 7 at SS, and put Nix in at 8. Leave the rest alone.
Posted by: The_GodfatherSJP | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:40 PM
Ideally a lineup would look like this for me:
Revere
Utley
Swisher
Howard
Young (Ruiz when he returns and hopefully hits like he did in '12)
Rollins
Brown
Kratz
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:41 PM
Really, Revere can't bat 8th. Complete waste of a big part of his skillset. I think Charlie will get that.
Posted by: fumphis | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:42 PM
Joe D you can't bat revere second in this lineup because that puts 3 lefties in a row at the top of the lineup
Posted by: AJ | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:42 PM
Rollins was moved "down" to the 3-hole because Utley & Howard were both out and they tried Vic and Pierre leading off.
It wasn't a demotion.
Posted by: NEPP | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:43 PM
This "Cholly won't bat Rollins anywhere but first" stuff is really annoying.
Rollins batted 3rd for pretty much the whole first month of the season this year. Got a lot of crap for it too.
Posted by: Cyclic | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:43 PM
@AJ, I'm not advocating Revere to hit 2nd although he will hit there. I want him leading off.
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:44 PM
@NEPP, exactly RE: Rollins hitting 3rd last year.
It was purely out of necessity.
I was one of the guys who thought Rollins and his approach would thrive in the 3-hole. Boy was I wrong.
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:45 PM
Cyclic - yeah, but if you can't be smug about lineup construction and Charlie's funny accent, what can you be smug about?
Posted by: Sophist | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:47 PM
This might be an interesting lineup though I doubt we'd ever see it:
CF Revere
3B Young
2B Utley
1B Howard
SS Rollins
LF Nix
RF Brown
C Kratz
It acknowledges the reality that Howard/Utley will never be split up barring a huge FA signing and it borrows from UC's previous strategy of moving Rollins' bat "down" to help out the middle of the linup.
Posted by: NEPP | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:48 PM
So Utley and Howard being out "necessitated" Rollins batting out of the leadoff spot, but the acquisitions of Young, Revere and potentially a corner OF couldn't possibly have an affect on where he bats? Yeah ok.
Posted by: Cyclic | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:51 PM
Over the past two years, Revere's numbers are not strong enough to be leadoff, but just turning 25 next year he surely can improve his on base skills in my opinion.
I leave Jimmy in leadoff for now, and would hope that Revere can show you enough improvement to take it away from him.
Posted by: lorecore | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:51 PM
NEPP: My version of that lineup for the post-Kratz portion of the season would be:
Revere
Young
Utley
Howard
Chooch
Rollins
Ruf/Nix
Brown
We'll never see it.
Posted by: GTown_Dave | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:53 PM
Cyclic, what are you even talking about? I can't even tell what side you are arguing.
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:54 PM
Flip-flop Utley and Young and I'm down with GTown.
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 12:55 PM
G-Town's boy Pence was inserted between Utley and Howard in the 2011 playoffs. That went really well.
Posted by: Iceman | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:00 PM
Why can't I find PPA stats? fangraphs doesn't have it?
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:02 PM
I like Utley in the 2 hole. Hopefully we get a strong enough FA that can hit 3rd to make it work.
Posted by: lorecore | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:05 PM
From the last thread, NEPP: "On Hamilton, how many would do something like 4/90 with a team/vesting option taking it to 5/120? ($25 M AAV as there'd be a $10 M buyout and $20 M in that final 5th year if he reaches PA thresholds)"
I would do that, and it's what I hope Amaro is offering right now. It's worth the risk, and 4/90 guaranteed money is really a deal for a guy that has hit .313/.370/.583/.952 the last three years, even if he misses time. They've got platoon options to get by when he hits the DL. 120-130 games a year with Hamilton gets this team into the playoffs.
Posted by: Iceman | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:05 PM
Joe D: I'd agree w/ that move, too, but I was conceding to the inevitability of Utley/Howard. Young has also been a very good #2 batter in his career.
Posted by: GTown_Dave | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:05 PM
Joe D: Go to a player's main b-ref page, and click on "More Stats" next to Standard Batting. THere is a section called Pitch Summary.
Revere averages 3.56 P/PA. The MLB Average is 3.82 during that same span.
Posted by: lorecore | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:09 PM
Thanks lorecore. No clue why I wasn't finding it on there. I started there then went to fangraphs.
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:10 PM
No offense, but if you're drawing up a lineup that you know Charlie will never go with, why not just draw up the lineup you think is optimal rather than conceding to Charlie's tastes on one particular issue?
Posted by: fumphis | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:11 PM
I'm not arguing any side.
Just tired of the meme of "Rollins Must Bat Leadoff"
Posted by: Cyclic | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:11 PM
Well unfortunately that is how it is Cyclic. If the roster is entirely in tact Young James will be at the top of the lineup.
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:14 PM
What in the hell is the Red Sox end-game this offseason?
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:17 PM
Joe D: How much of that is because when the roster is in full tact, Rollins is the best leadoff hitter they have vs Charlie being an impossibly close minded and stubborn manager?
Posted by: lorecore | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:18 PM
I'd say it's half and half lorecore.
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:20 PM
I was just thinking about this the other day. How will the lineup look & how exactly will Charlie use them. That is scary to think about.
Here is to hoping Revere doesn't turn into a mini mart this season.
Posted by: | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:22 PM
Reading about RA Dickey's dissatisfaction with the Mts this morning in the Times, I just wonder (again): Would they listen to something like Brown, Galvis, one of the catchers, and/or one of the relievers?
Brown, Galvis, and Schwimhorstenberg would give them three cost-controlled ML-ready guys, and they need catching badly at all levels. Just a thought. I sorta love Dickey for next year and am starting to fear sending Cloyd out there.
Posted by: Baul Plair | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:23 PM
Trying to grab early spot on coining new nickname for offense.
In 2009, pitching-wise, we had H20.
If we get Hamilton, H2=O. (Howard + Hamilton = Offense)
Posted by: Voice of Reason | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:27 PM
Actually on second thought lorecore I'd say Charlie's breakdown for having Rollins leadoff would be as follows:
1/3 - he is the best leadoff option
1/3 - Charlie is stubborn
1/3 - veteran loyalty
Posted by: Joe D | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:28 PM
No one will want to hear this, but right now if they're going to split up Howard and Utley the guy to do it with is Young.
Rollins
Utley
Young
Howard
Ruiz
Brown
Nixberry
Revere
Pitcher
Completely optimizing the lineup would have Revere ninth, but LaRussa isn't managing this team.
Posted by: Iceman | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:30 PM
Based on past history 2nd is the best place for Young.
Past history also leads me to believe that
no interest in Swisher tells me he has a good chance to end up in Philly.
Posted by: Jr. | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:35 PM
joe d - are you saying you agree that rollins is the best choice over the years? If so, why does any other factor matter?
Posted by: lorecore | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:36 PM
Iceman: Why Young over Chooch to split up the lefties? Chooch is the better hitter.
Posted by: Jack | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:39 PM
I think Charlie takes a look at that .294 BA Revere sported last year and those 40 SB's and puts him atop the lineup. Young makes sense as the #2 hitter if he hits and #7 or #8 if he doesn't. I hope he hits. . . a lot. . .
Posted by: jbird | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:40 PM
What matters most is simply putting your better offensive players higher in the lineup. Secondary to that is the tactics of splitting up lefties/righties.
Other than that, everything else is basically irrelevant. Thus, I would go:
Rollins
Utley
Ruiz
Howard
Young
Ruf/Nix
Mayberry/Brown
Pitcher
Revere
Though I would also be more than willing to switch Ruf and Young if the Bambino proved he was a legitimate hitter.
Other skills don't matter compared to simply getting your better hitters the most ABs. Amazing how often people are willing to overlook this.
Posted by: Jack | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:44 PM
You just know that Cholly will leave JRoll in the leadoff spot, Young will hit 2nd, and a FA right-handed bat will hit 5th.
Revere will hit 8th once Chooch comes back but until then he will hit 7th with Kratz 8th.
Posted by: MG | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:48 PM
Jack - To a large extent, yes, but "better hitter" is pretty vague. To a look at this, for instance:
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2006/2/12/133645/296
Posted by: Sophist | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:57 PM
"But I don't think we can expect Utley to hit with any more pop than Young this year."
MDK, on what do you base that opinion?
Posted by: awh: Founder, JRoll in the 6-hole Club | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 01:58 PM
I have a lot of concerns about Chooch. What he was busted for might not have been of direct benefit to his hitting, but who's to say what other aids he has been using? Here's a guy who went from:
339 G, 1181 PA, .245 BA/.338 OBP/.375 SLG, 85 OPS+
in his first 3 seasons (ages 28-30), to:
367 G, 1326 PA, .303 BA/.388 OBP/.454 SLG, 127 OPS+
in his next 3 seasons (ages 31-33).
Assuming Ruiz comes into '13 100% "clean", I really question what manner of hitter we'll see.
Posted by: GTown_Dave | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:02 PM
Sophist: Good point, and that's interesting.
I would note though, to all the people who for years have said "whatever, who cares about OBP in the middle of the lineup, you need power," the study still found that OBP was just as important in the cleanup spot as SLG. And in every other position, it's more important.
And I would still note that it's not all that hard to determine who the better hitter is. Revere had a .300 wOBA (which includes baserunning) and a .333 OBP. Rollins had a .322 wOBA with a .316 OBP.
I'll still take Rollins batting leadoff over Revere (though Utley would be preferrable to both).
Posted by: Jack | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:02 PM
Sophist: And actually, I don't think that would be all that difficult to compute the optimal lineup with.
If you took those formulas for lineup spots, and created some projections for each player, I would think it would be relatively easy to run a lineup optimization algorithm, right?
I mean, I'm not a programmer or statistician or anything, so I can't. But I would imagine that for people who do this, that would be fairly easy.
Posted by: Jack | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:06 PM
MDK, I will guarantee that Utley has a higher ISO this year, and thus, more "pop" than Young. I'd bet a lot on that, actually.
Posted by: Fatalotti | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:06 PM
I'll still take Rollins batting leadoff over Revere (though Utley would be preferable to both).
I was very tempted to slot Utley leadoff as well, but wondered if that's the wisest course of action for a player w/ bad knees.
Posted by: GTown_Dave | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:06 PM
Sophist: The run environment in baseball that your linked article is analyzing is so much different than it is today. Needs a complete recalc.
Posted by: lorecore | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:08 PM
FYI: Jamie Moyer is thinking of retiring. He's a little young to retire, no? ;)
Here's an interview with him on MLB Network. http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=25525175&topic_id=7417714&c_id=mlb&v=3&tcid=tw_video_25525113
Personally, I'd love to have him as a pitching coach somewhere in the Phillies organization/system.
Posted by: GBrettfan | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:11 PM
This article was linked over at mlbtr.
Michael Bourn's market value is 5 yrs/90MM?
WTF did they get that from, Boras?
Posted by: awh: Founder, JRoll in the 6-hole Club | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:13 PM
Oops. Here's the link:
http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/mlb/2012/12/12/mlb-top-remaining-free-agents-josh-hamilton-anibal-sanchez-michael-bourn/1761965/
Posted by: awh: Founder, JRoll in the 6-hole Club | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:14 PM
Using Bill James projections for 2013 (which are optimistic, but optimistic as to everyone), I ran the lineup optimizer. Here's what you get for righties:
vs RHP
Brown
Utley
Young
Howard
Ruiz
Nix
Rollins
Pitcher
Revere
I think the James' projections are particularly skewed high for Brown, which is why it has him hitting so high here. Still, I'm down with Utley/Young/Howard/Ruiz as a 2-5. It didn't even know to split up lefties and righties, but it turns out that's best anyway.
Posted by: Jack | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:14 PM
So I will apologize to Iceman for asking why Young in the 3-hole instead of Chooch. It would appear that the Baseball Musings tool agrees.
Posted by: Jack | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:16 PM
Preface to post: the following is pure speculation.
Perhaps part of the motive behind a Ross signing is that if Ruf and Brown develop well and both mash, unlike Hamilton and Swisher, Ross has a history of being a platoon player, thus assuring ABs for both Ruf and Brown. Not saying I agree with this, but I've been racking my brain for a motive for a Ross signing and I came up with this speculative thought...obviously money and perhaps his ability to hit in CBP are a part of the equation as well.
Posted by: danomyte | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:30 PM
Jack - yeah, if Brown develops into that Nick Markakis type player, he'd be great for the lead off spot. High OBP and relatively low SLG. Rollins is suboptimal for leading off not only cos of his OBP but bc his SLG could be wasted there. If Revere and Rollins have identical OBP, Revere may be better suited to lead off.
Posted by: Sophist | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:34 PM
Although "better suited" may be les important than just giving Rollins may PA. Hard to know that a priori though.
Posted by: Sophist | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:35 PM
Brown was showing a good eye last year during certain stretches
Posted by: | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:38 PM
Maybe Ross' career numbers at CBP have less to do with the stadium and more with being able to tee off on crappy pitchers like Roy Halladay.
Posted by: Jack | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:38 PM
Charlie hears "platoon" & doesn't understand why anyone would want to send one of his OF to Vietnam w/ Tom Berenger. Considering his managerial style, a "pencil 'em in every day" player like Hamilton or Swisher would make a lot more sense. If the FO is intending to make moves based on platoon utility, they're tinkling into a stiff breeze. Cheapest option & no loss of a draft pick remain the most likely reasons for wanting Ross.
Posted by: GTown_Dave | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:45 PM
Does anyone remember when Philadelphia fans booed Santa Claus and Charlie Manuel couldn't double switch?
If not, ask Gtown about it.
Posted by: lorecore | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:49 PM
GTown, I'm not opposed to Ross (though he'dd be my 3rd choice), but if that's who they bring in I would hope they might add a SP who's better than a "low-risk, high-reward" type guy that Amaro is seeking.
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2012/12/phillies-seek-low-risk-starter.html
Posted by: awh: Founder, JRoll in the 6-hole Club | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:51 PM
Good point GTown...just struggling to understand the rationale. Still kind of lost on it. Maybe it's a ruse to surprise us all with a Swishmas this year
Posted by: danomyte | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:51 PM
GTown's post was quite comical. Good for a hearty laugh at the office.
Posted by: Fatalotti | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:52 PM
Blanton's conract details are up at mlbtr:
"Blanton’s two-year, $15MM contract with the Angels calls for a $6.5MM salary in 2013 and a $7.5MM salary in 2014, DiGiovanna reports. The deal includes an $8MM club option for 2015 with a $1MM buyout."
I'd love to know who RAJ thinks is "higher-reward", that he can get for "lower-risk" than that?
Posted by: awh: Founder, JRoll in the 6-hole Club | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 02:55 PM
awh: You don't think any pitcher exists that could be had for less than 2yr/$15M who doesn't have a possible upside to outperform Joe Blanton?
Please give me that mlbtr FA list again so I can circle the whole damn thing.
Posted by: lorecore | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 03:00 PM
Sign me up for the Revere-batting-ninth option. As others said, his speed is wasted in the #8 slot, and as the worst hitter in the everyday lineup, he should not be hitting #1 or #2.
Lineup without Chooch:
vs RHP/vs LHP:
RF Brown/SS Rollins
2B Utley
3B Young
1B Howard
LF Ruf
SS Rollins/RF Mayberry
C Kratz
pitcher
CF Revere
Posted by: ColonelTom | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 03:01 PM
How many fewer at bats, ballpark, does a guy get in a season batting 5th or 6th rather than 2nd or 3rd? That would have to be a pretty high number for me to completely ignore things like L/R balance.
My priority this year, though, is as much OBP as possible in front of Howard. Really hoping Ruiz can come close to last year's tallies.
Posted by: Ryan | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 03:02 PM
Yeah I've been puzzled by this "low-risk, high-reward type of guy" comment.
So basically they're looking for someonle like: Hamels, Kershaw, Cain, Sabathia, Verlander, Felix. Doesn't every GM want that type of guy for every position?
Was RAJ being tongue-in-cheek, or completely clueless?
Posted by: nokwurst | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 03:04 PM
lore, according to mlbtr's updated list, these guys are still available:
Starting pitchers
Erik Bedard (34)
Dallas Braden (29)
Aaron Cook (34)
Ryan Dempster (36)
Freddy Garcia (37)
Rich Harden (31)
Roberto Hernandez (32)
Edwin Jackson (29)
Jair Jurrjens (27)
Jeff Karstens (30)
John Lannan (28)
Francisco Liriano (29)
Kyle Lohse (34) - declined qualifying offer
Derek Lowe (40)
Shaun Marcum (31)
Daisuke Matsuzaka (32)
Kevin Millwood (38)
Dustin Moseley (31)
Jamie Moyer (50)
Brett Myers (32)
Roy Oswalt (35)
Carl Pavano (37)
Mike Pelfrey (29)
Anibal Sanchez (29)
Jonathan Sanchez (30)
Joe Saunders (32)
Tim Stauffer (31)
Carlos Villanueva (29)
Chien-Ming Wang (33)
Kip Wells (36)
Randy Wolf (36)
Chris Young (34)
Carlos Zambrano (32)
Carlos Zambrano, anyone? Anyone?
Posted by: awh: Founder, JRoll in the 6-hole Club | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 03:07 PM
nokwurst, he meant a guy that won't cost much but could potentially pitch well. specifically citing guys coming off an injury as an example
Posted by: Ryan | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 03:09 PM
Ctom: Did you take into account Rollins splits when building those lineups, or moreso other player's splits and adjusted Rollins as a constant? Just curious, because jroll has become a better hitter vs RHP over last couple seasons.
2012: .804 OPS v RHP, .612 v LHP
2011: .786 OPS v RHP, .609 v LHP
His career numbers are even, so it could just be a fluke, but definitely something to pay attention to moving forward.
Posted by: lorecore | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 03:11 PM
Hernandez (AKA Fausto Carmona) just dropped off the board, but there are still enough guys on the list (32) to fill six rotations.
Posted by: awh: Founder, JRoll in the 6-hole Club | Wednesday, December 12, 2012 at 03:11 PM