For the amount the Phillies will pay Michael Young, Saturday's trade looks like a safe bet. The Phils are likely on the hook for less than $6 million of the $16 million Young is owed, and by acquiring him paid a steeper price in prospects than in salary.
• This makes more sense than giving Kevin Youkilis a two-year deal worth $16-18 million. The Phillies instead save several million dollars in 2013 and all of that AAV for 2014. Young and Youkilis have a similar amount of flaws. Both are thought to be declining. Young is three years older, but Youkilis has missed 134 more games over the last three seasons and has dealt with lingering back problems.
• Those quick to dismiss Young as a player whose career is over should look to other examples of players in their mid-30s bouncing back after a bad season. Dave Cameron pointed out a few examples earlier in the week at ESPN -- Todd Helton, Ken Griffey Jr., Ray Durham, J.T. Snow -- and I compared Young's situation to Derek Jeter's over at CSNPhilly.com.
Jeter at age 36 hit .270/.340/.370 and was thought to be done. Then he bounced back to hit .308 with an OPS 60 points higher over the next two seasons. As you can see in the post at CSNPhilly, Young and Jeter have eerily similar career averages, excluding walks.
• In 2010, Young hit .284/.330/.444. If he can do that for the Phillies (and it's not too unrealistic) it would be a significant offensive upgrade over Phillies' third basemen from 2007-12 ... who hit a measly .263/.323/.370.
• The difference is that Young is a lesser fielder than Placido Polanco and Pedro Feliz. It should be noted, however, that Young was worth 2.6 WAR in 2010. Phillies third basemen from 2007-12 averaged 2.16 WAR per season.