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Monday, April 16, 2012

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MG, you're right about the reverse splits. At least last year, though, Affeldt was MUCH better against LHB than RHB. Still, I'm ok with leaving Doc in. The likelihood that Thome mashes an XBH there is not worth taking the ball out of Doc's hands and giving it to a much lesser pitcher in Bastardo or Qualls, in my opinion.

It's real nice to have a guy in the ninth who you know is just not going to blow a 3 run lead to this lineup under any circumstances.

Another called strike against Mayberry to get him looking. He's just in a funk right now.

I love Doc, but this is a trend worth watching:

Start 1: 0 ER
Start 2: 1 ER
Start 3: 2 ER

He'll be out of baseball by mid-June.

MG - that was a really tough pitch. Awfully hard to hit, and I'm surprised it was called a strike.

If Bochy doesn't anoint Romo his closer, he's off his rocker. Romo has been the best relief pitcher for the Giants for the last 2 years, even far better than Wilson.

The 1 2 3 in our lineup has been a real murderers row

Polly didn't look like he was favoring the elbow.

I'm waiting to post...

"3-0 with an 1.18 ERA on the first three starts? #winning"

Philipper - It was a really nice curve. Just usually that Mayberry has a good hack at curves though especially vs LHP.

How many wins for Doc this year?

Well, he should get about 34 starts so figure on around 34 wins.

NEPP - ESPN has him on pace to go 32-0.

NEPP, I was going to be conservative, and say he matches Carlton's 1972 total of 27, but I like where your head's at.

In that bc commercial-,amazing how the spouse delivered kids w-o even uncrossing her legs!

realistically? 25.

I'm liking him for 20 wins. It'd be nice to see.

Burriss had a really good pitch to hit there 0-2. Lucky he has no ability to really drive the ball.

Why is Papelbon throwing 91 mph??

Going into the year I thought Halladay would win 17 games. Fast start though so far helps to give him a better chance to get more than that.

Started 4-0 in his first 4 starts in '10 and wound up with 21 wins.

Doc started 4-0 in his first season with the Phils.

"Why is Papelbon throwing 91 mph??"

His arm's shot from throwing 26 pitches yesterday.

Career's basically over.

Did fg Mis judge that grounder?

Really important to get Cabrera here. Don't want Sandoval/Posey coming up representing the tying run.

So close there, Freddy.

Papelbon is down 1 mph on his fastball this year, according to FG. been between 94.5 and 94.9 every year in the league, but came in to today at 93.8. Still early, though.

High cheese and he chases here.

I'm too tired to complain about this win. Good game, good night.

Good start to the road trip especially since this was the only game where the Phils have a clear pitching advantage given how Lincecum has pitched lately.

Hopefully scratch out 2-3 runs somewhere against Cain tomorrow night.

How many east coast games did we beat to the finish?

Very nice win. Let's see if they can grab one against Bumgarner/Cain, who are really tough pitchers in this park.

That's Paptastic!!!

Meant Bumgarner. Face Cain on Wed. night.

DOC tastic

For what it's worth, most pitchers pick up 1-2mph as the season progresses. It's still early, arms aren't yet in top form.

ESPN did an article on that recently :
http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/baseball/flb/story?page=60F6I120410

Pap's velocity was a little low to start the year last year and the year before. nothing to worry about. He's still got great location and movement on his fastball and splitter.

Good to know he picked up velocity as last year went on. Still makes me nervous to see an expensive new acquisition working 3-4 mph below where he normally operates. Appearances on back-to-back days shouldn't produce that effect.

Strange game. If Melky Cabrera hadn't completely butchered Polanco's "double" in the 1st inning, & Pence hadn't made that great catch to end the 4th, it might well have ended up 5-2 the other way.

@bap

I suspect that there's going to be a lot of that this year. With offense in the league dropping again and the Phils being pitching-first anyway this year, small mistakes are going to be amplified. When the big things get rarer, the little things get bigger. Or something like that.

Phils really have played some teams with terrible corner OF defense lately. Mets with Bay/Duda and Hairston/Duda yesterday. Fish embarrassing defense with Stanton and Morrison.

Phils' aren't world-beaters either defensively with Pence and Pierre out there but better than their opposing counterparts lately. Arguably the difference in the game tonight.

Gtwon i hear you...No complaining a win is a win...But realistically we had a struggling pitcher here couple early miscues early on by the Giants defense...the only real blow was Nix...Take Nix double out or Pence's catch and the game could of went either way..

Appearances on back-to-back days shouldn't produce that effect.

Posted by: Brian | Tuesday, April 17, 2012 at 12:57 AM

Not to mention a cross country flight.

Doc has a good shot at reaching career no. 200 by mid-season. If he can pitch through the 2018 season, when he's 41, Doc also has a chance to get to career no. 300. My guess is that he finishes his career at 280 wins.

"Strange game. If Melky Cabrera hadn't completely butchered Polanco's "double" in the 1st inning, & Pence hadn't made that great catch to end the 4th, it might well have ended up 5-2 the other way."

'Next on Baseball's Butterfly Effect...Cliff Lee ate a bowl of plain cheerios the day he decided on Philadelphia. But would the world be different had he chosen Honey Nut?

Plus- was David Wells' perfect game a product of the brand of boubon he drank that day? Stay tuned.'

"But realistically we had a struggling pitcher here couple early miscues early on by the Giants defense...the only real blow was Nix...Take Nix double out or Pence's catch and the game could of went either way.."

Just stop it.

HELP! Someone please explain to me the logic of Wiggy as a defensive replacement for Nix.

"But realistically we had a struggling pitcher here couple early miscues early on by the Giants defense...the only real blow was Nix...Take Nix double out or Pence's catch and the game could of went either way..

---------------------------------------

Can we bring back the undeserved win stat?

Seriously guys it is okay to be happy about a win instead of finding ways to cut it down

Good thing defensive blunders should only affect the Phillies. Point is that defense matters and we dont often realize it because we typically have sound defenders at most positions on the field whereas the Mets, Giants and Marlins show us the dangers of not playing good fundamental baseball.

'Seriously guys it is okay to be happy about a win instead of finding ways to cut it down.'

Couldn't agree more, TI.

jr: at 1st base? Wiggington has 1,938 innings of experience there while Nix has 69 innings at 1st? I guess. SSS, but Nix does have ever so slightly better numbers in those 69 innings. But Charlie usually defaults to experience, doesn't he?

Every game hinges on a play or two here or there.

It amazes me that as much as we discuss defense, UZR, WAR, etc. etc. all the time, but when then people watch the game and defense plays are made/not made, all we talk about is what shoulda/coulda happened.

How do people not connect the dots here? When Mayberry doesn't hit a pitch out of the park, do you say 'well if mayberry would have hit a HR on that pitch, the game would have been different?" Of course not, because its idiotic to think that since Mayberry has hit a curveball for a HR before, that he 'could' have done it again on any other curveball.

But when some bum on the other team misplays a ball, we've got people saying, 'well if Pagan doesn't misplay that ball' ..... he wouldnt be Angel Pagan! Thats what he does! Mayberry will strike out on a lot of curves and Angel Pagan will misplay balls. There is no ifs/wouldas/couldas.

FWIW, Papelbon's average and maximum velocities for last night were the lowest he's had since an outing in midyear 2009. He topped out at 93.1 mph and sat at 92.14 on his fastball.

So, hopefully it was just fatigue from the day before/jet lag.

Looking at Timmy's delivery, it appears that he doesn't "follow through" anywhere near as much as he used to. Self preservation? Injury?

Yo, new thread!

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