Laynce Nix, 31, hit a career-high 16 homers in 351 plate appearances with the Nationals last season and is only suitable for use against right-handed pitching. The deal is for two years, pending a physical, according to Jim Salisbury. [Link]
Beerleaguer: You figured the Phils would go this route after signing Ty Wigginton, and my level of excitement is kind of the same, maybe less. First, you'll never see him start against a same-handed pitcher. I think of him as a cross between David Dellucci and Ricky Ledee (how's that for a Phillies-minded comp?), with perhaps better defensive skills than those two. I like that he can play each position, and Beerleaguers remember the highlight-reel snag he made against the hometown nine in June that led to a series win for Washington (he also homered in the victory).
For many years - like three or four years - Nix had trouble staying in the Show. A lot of that had to do with where he was. There wasn't much opportunity in Texas, for example, or Milwaukee. But he's also a brutally fringe hacker. In parts of nine seasons with Texas, Milwaukee, Cincinnati and Washington, he's a .244/.288/.430 hitter. Even last season, which was probably his most complete effort, his on-base was a stark .299, and that's including just 31 plate appearances against a lefty. Even Geoff Jenkins, in his woeful 2008, was good for a .301.
The Phils survived Raul Ibanez's low on-base last season, and Nix should be in a good position - hitting sixth or seventh maybe - to collect RBIs at a similar clip. But it's still a lot of outs to add to a lineup already loaded with them. This isn't as "outside the box" as I'd like for a spot where I thought the Phils could take a risk. And I'm not crazy about committing to Nix through 2013.
Neither is Domonic Brown, I'm sure, or Michael Martinez (so what?), or John Bowker (who?) or Ben Francisco, who can't possibly be tendered now.




If the Brew Crew grab Rollins, you can forget about a 6th consecutive NL East title. Possibly forget about a winning season.
Posted by: Scotch Man | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 06:38 PM
if milwaukee signs Rollins....you have to sign Reyes. No doubt about it.
Posted by: nonamePHame | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 06:40 PM
LNix wanted a 1year deal at league minimum, Rube insisted he sign this deal for 2 years, full NTC and a special kicker which awards Nix a free tractor and time at home on his farm for every game missed with back stiffness.
Posted by: Rauls grandpa | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 06:42 PM
Nix Now Nuts Next?
Posted by: Meyer | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 06:45 PM
Welp, forget about Reyes. Marlins offer is now over 100 mil. He is a miami marlin for sure.
Posted by: nonamePHame | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 06:54 PM
Marlins offer 6 years $111 million to Reyes.
Posted by: Elephant in the room | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 06:55 PM
Um.... IIRC, RAJ offered Raul arbitration. Assuming there's no wink and a nod for him to decline that, what, exactly, happens if he accepts?
Posted by: Kevin | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:00 PM
there has to be a "wink and nod", kevin. No way he would make that offer if there was any possibility that Raul would accept.
Posted by: nonamePHame | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:02 PM
This is a Huh move i dont understand why Rube would want this guy. I can only think that Rube has some sort of trade thing going on.
Posted by: Luis | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:10 PM
I wouldn't mind letting Rollins go if they sign a vet for 1 year. Then bring up Galvis. The team isn't getting any younger and I for one don't want a shortstop 37 years of age. All of the stars other than Pence are on the wrong side of 30 and slowing down (read: injured) considerably. Time for some young blood, especially w/ another wild card slot.
Posted by: Bert Wedemeyer | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:11 PM
Bert....this team can't win without more offense. Plain and simple. We can't downgrade offensively at SS for 2012.
Posted by: nonamePHame | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:13 PM
This possible deal was posted by someone on Comcastsportsnet.com "ESPN mentioned Shane Victorino and Vance Worley for Adam Jones and Mark Reynolds".:
Did anyone else here this? I like Jones a lot. Reymolds, while he has great power, K's way too much. And I don't know if I'd give up Worley. Not too enamormed with Blaton and KK and the 4 & 5.
Posted by: DPatrone | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:20 PM
I agree with noname we cant absorb a possible .210 SS. Not saying that our offensive capabilities are bad, but i dont think we can afford a(possible).210 hitter at any position. On the flip side i also dont want a 37 year old SS.
Posted by: Luis | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:24 PM
I would be all in for that trade easily. Doubt if it would happen.
Posted by: The hook | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:24 PM
why would the orioles do that deal? I don't like it one bit tho.
Posted by: nonamePHame | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:25 PM
A two-year deal for this guy? Honestly?
I don't even know what to say at this point. Nix is not worthy of starting on a playoff contender, simple as that. If you're going to play a crappy LF, why on earth wouldn't you give Dom Brown a chance to develop instead of play a guy you know sucks?
Posted by: Jack | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:26 PM
Apparently we're ok with absorbing a left-fielder with a career .288 OBP.
If this guy is our starting LF on Opening Day, I don't know what on earth the Phillies are thinking.
Posted by: Jack | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:28 PM
NNP: It was posted under Salibury's piece about the Nix deal. I didn't see it on TV, so I'm only asking. I do know they are looking for power at the 3b position, thus moving Polly to 2nd and playing Utley a 1st, which would probably save a little wear and tear on him.
It does make sense, but I agree, can't see the O's doing it.
Posted by: DPatrone | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:30 PM
Jack. He is a platoon with Mayberry. If you take Mayberry vs LHP and Nix against RHP last year you get this line (Matt Gelb via twitter):
Nix/Mayberry: (440 PA) .275/.316/.507, 24 HR
I will take that out of my LF next year (esp when they are making combined less than 1.5 mil (most likely))
Posted by: nonamePHame | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:31 PM
DPatrone, you are assuming that Howard is out of baseball for all 2012? No way utley is moving to 1st.
Posted by: nonamePHame | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:32 PM
NNP~ No I'm not assuming Howard is out for the year, my thought was until Howard returns, which is an unknown at this point.
Also, I'm sure sure Mayberry can handle 1st adequately.
But another underlying thought is that if they got a power hitting 3b-man Polly moves to the bench or gets traded. Though he was playing hurt most of last year (and I respect that), they can't be happy with his offensive numbers from what is generally a power position.
Posted by: DPatrone | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:41 PM
Polly has no trade value (and a full NTC i believe). How about Victorino for Hanley straight up-- haha
Posted by: nonamePHame | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:43 PM
Isn't Nix the type of hitter that RAJ said in the post season press conference that he wanted to get away from?
Posted by: Len39 | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:45 PM
Thys syning sycks.
Posted by: GTown_Dave | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:48 PM
DPatrone - If the Phils are planning to add another SP and if they do not expect Howard to contribute much in 2012, I like the deal.
The Phils would be selling high on Worley, who I think is a back-of-the-rotation pitcher.
The commitment to Reynolds is only one season, although there is a team option for 2013. He would give the team 35 HRs (along with 200 Ks and Dr. Strangeglove).
Jones is very young, looks good offensively already and should improve; more power than on-base guy, though. I don't know about his glove
Posted by: derekcarstairs | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 07:53 PM
Didn't look it up but I gues RAJ figures anyone with a line better than he had must be ok.
Posted by: jr | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:00 PM
Until Howard comes back, Nix isn't a platoon player. He's a starting LF.
Posted by: Jack | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:03 PM
Jack~ Nix doesn't hit lefties well at all, strictly platoon.
Derek~ It's very possible that RAJ is looking to add a starter given the premium he puts on pitching. One can only wonder whom it might be.
Posted by: DPatrone | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:11 PM
For mind-boggling stupidity, it was going to be hard for RAJ to top the Brian Schneider signing. But giving a 2-year deal to this stiff, who has been signed to minor league deals in each of the 4 years before this one, might just do the trick.
Aside from 14 or 15 good swings a year, Nix is absolutely useless from an offensive perspective. His career splits against LHP are .181/.235/.271 -- which makes Mini-Mart look like Babe Ruth. You might be able to live with that if he could really rake against RHP, but a .747 career OPS does not remotely qualify as "really raking." RAJ has had a strange off-season.
Posted by: bay_area_phan | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:21 PM
Jack: There is no way in the world Nix will be our full-time left fielder. In fact, I'd be surprised if he ever makes a start against a left-handed pitcher.
As the roster is currently comprised, you'd probably see Wigginton at 1st & Mayberry in LF when a LHP is on the mound. Hell, you could even do Thome at 1st against LHP; he still hits them pretty well (at least he did last year). Personally, I think Mayberry has earned the right to be the full-time left-fielder, but that's just me.
Posted by: bay_area_phan | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:25 PM
NEPP - Back on the aging topic, in trying to answer the question about what happens to players' performances in their 30s, we should be looking at players who are still active in their 30s. If, instead, you consider all ballplayers, the overwhelming majority of these players will have been out of baseball by age 30. These players are irrelevant to a discussion of how players perform in their 30s.
Besides, does anyone really care about the aging patterns of Michael Martinez, Greg Golson and Putsy Caballero?
Considering only players since 1980 does raise the steroids issue, but I think clout identified the numerous offsetting relevant issues in the last thread.
Posted by: derekcarstairs | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:26 PM
So you would rather start Nix at LF instead of Mayberry. Doesnt make sense i admit i wasnt big on Mayberry but then he started to show his potential. I think i rather would just give Mayberry the shot then Nix.
Posted by: Luis | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:37 PM
When I first saw we signed Nix I was actually thinking "Hmm...good signing". Then I saw it was a 2 year deal. WTF Rube?!?
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:38 PM
That "Orioles" talk is pure b8llsh8t. Unless they want somebody like Reynolds to replace Howard's strikeouts in the lineup. He's a friggin K machine. Every outlet in the country is talking about how the Orioles love Jones and are actively seeking to extend him because he is such a bargain for the team and they want to build around him.
Posted by: Rauls grandpa | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:39 PM
2011 vs LHP:
Nix: .781 OPS
Mayberry: .785 OPS
I CANNOT wait to see UC pinch-hit for Mayberry with Lance Nix...it will happen a bunch of times.
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:41 PM
***One can only wonder whom it might be.***
Wilson or Dervish maybe?
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:42 PM
RG~ It may be but it's not from me.
Posted by: DPatrone | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:45 PM
Expected they would sign another LH bat since they weren't going to start Brown in LF this year. Not surprised that Amaro would give a 2-yr deal though to Nix though it is puzzling considering he has been a minor league signing the past 3 years. Probably ended up being a 2 yr/$8M deal when a 1 yr/$4.5M with an $500k buyout option would have sufficed.
One of the more absolutely baffling & foolish parts of Amaro's tenure as a GM is to sign every bench player to a 2-year deal.
Nix has been a steady enough offensive performer in the NL the last 3 years:
.254/.306/.461 (.767 OPS) with 35 HRs in 798 ABs
He's been productive though vs RHP pitching though:
.263/.312/.480 (.792 OPS) with 35 in 723 ABs
He's a pretty hardcore pull hitter though the short-porch in at CBP won't help him all that much.
He will be an upgrade defensively and on the basepaths over Ibanez in LF although he's a pretty brutal hacker at the plate who has a bunch of holes in his swing.
Doesn't have good plate coverage & struggles with stuff away on the outside corner of the plate. Ditto gas up in the zone who simply overmatch him.
He also chases an awful lot of crap out of the zone away and up too. Why he is generally a poor PH (just 16-74 which translates to .216 with 1 HR the past 3 years)and situational hitter. Means he is not a good option off the bench generally to PH or come into games late.
Also has a tendency to turn into a pumpkin after the ASB and not hit a lot. Hopefully Cholly gives him a bunch of PT early in April/May.
If he starts against RHP pitching especially pitchers who doesn't throw gas or have a good curveball, he can be productive. It means that Cholly though has to use in him spots where it makes sense where he can best be placed to succeed and that generally isn't a Cholly hallmark as a manager all of the time.
Why I haven't been crazy about the moves they have made this offseason because it is going to mean that Cholly is going to have to mix & match an awful lot next year with 1B/LF and his middle relief. It isn't a strength of his as a manager. At least he will have veteran players though on the bench who he should feel comfortable using.
Posted by: MG | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:45 PM
Why do you sign Nix to a 2 year deal? I mean, seriously...its just insanity.
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:48 PM
NEPP - It is just is foolish. If Nix flops this year (and there is always a decent chance that a guy who will be 32 might), then the Phils aren't stuck with him for '13.
Amaro has done some really good things here as the GM but I hate Amaro's fascination with 'versatility' and insistence on signing every single 30+ bench player to a guaranteed 2-yr deal.
Posted by: MG | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:52 PM
BAP - I agree with you. Nix won't be a full-time starter in LF next year at the start of the year with Howard out. He'll sit with Mayberry/Wigginton in the lineup when a LHP is on the mound.
Personally, I hope this doesn't mean that Mayberry becomes primarily a bench fixture so that a flawed veteran like Nix or a guy who very well might be done (Wiggington) get a lot of PT next year in the 1st half at this expense.
It is interesting though how Amaro signed two guys (Nix and Wiggington) who have been pretty notorious for being fast starters though offensively and fading as the season goes on.
Posted by: MG | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:56 PM
So, We brought Nix in as a backup LF/LH pinch-hitter. We have a far superior LH bat on the bench in Thome for late game situations so Nix is pretty useless there and he's a worse option than Mayberry or BenFran in LF so that doesnt make much sense either.
It also doesnt make much sense to use him in a platoon as Mayberry hits RHP better than him and he's a far superior defender to Nix.
Its an okay 4th/5th OF signing I guess...replaces Gload in that role.
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:57 PM
By the way, anyone who thinks Nix's signing has ANYTHING to do with Dom Brown's future is nuts... http://jstolnis.wordpress.com/2011/12/04/phillies-sign-laynce-nix/
Posted by: John | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 08:59 PM
I'm not going to complain about this move. When Rube signed Schneider, I was advised that the backup catcher doesn't matter. And now that he's signed a slightly below mediocre platoon leftfielder, I'm sure that doesn't matter either.
Wake me up when signs someone who matters, which according to the cognoscenti on BL is never.
Oh, and a two year deal? It certainly worked for Scheider, Gload and Moyer. So, why not?
Posted by: aksmith | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:00 PM
And why are we automatically assuming Mayberry can't start against righties? He didn't really get much of a chance to do it last year. I'd love to see Mayberry get the chance Francisco did last year. If it doesn't work out, THEN platoon with Nix.
Posted by: John | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:03 PM
NEPP - I imagine that Nix will be the first PH option off the bench if Cholly wants to save Thome for the 8th/9th.
I just hope that Mayberry is generally in the lineup everyday and that a declining veteran mediocrity like Wiggington doesn't take a bunch of PT form him. Mayberry is much better on the basepaths and my bet is defensively too even at 1B.
Posted by: MG | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:05 PM
Laynce Nix, 31, hit a career-high 16 homers in 351 plate appearances with the Nationals last season
There's your answer. RAJ's convinced this ex-Gnat has finally figured it out.
Hard to believe, Harry...
Posted by: cut_fastball | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:06 PM
Amaro has had to tinker with the roster due to Howard's injury and hasn't had a bunch of cash to do so. Why the Wigginton move wasn't a bad one (1 yr/$2M) since they didn't give up much of anything, got a little cash & there is little downside.
I think Wiggington is done and won't be productive (sub .700 OPS next year) but then he's gone. If he is really terrible (.600-.650 OPS), the Phils can move on at the ASB.
Nix can be productive too but the thing to not like about this deal is the 2nd guaranteed year. Really surprised if Nix got a 2nd guaranteed year from any other team. I much would rather seen an option with a $500k buyout.
Posted by: MG | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:12 PM
Per MLBTradeRumors, The Marlins are basically agreed to a deal with Reyes for 6 years, $110 million.
So where does that leave Jimmy for contract demands?
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:13 PM
I am glad somebody brought up Gload. The deal doesn't warm the cockles of my heart but at least this guy can sort of move around and field better than somebody like Gload warming the pine. This guy moves are better than Delucciesqe, probably more Ledeeian in nature.
Posted by: Rauls grandpa | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:15 PM
Not on philles that's for sure
Posted by: The hook | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:16 PM
So where does that leave Jimmy for contract demands?
It's a damn good thing r00b isn't inclined toward offering declining players contracts for too many years & too much money.
Posted by: GTown_Dave | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:16 PM
Prediction: With Reyes off the market, Rube will panic and give Jimmy 5 years, $80 million.
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:20 PM
Until Howard returns, Wigginton should get most of the playing time at first.
I think Mayberry will play LF primarily. The problem is that he has not been tested against the tougher right-handers. If Mayberry is only effective against southpaws and selected right-handers, that could mean a lot of playing time for Nix.
Posted by: derekcarstairs | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:21 PM
Wigginton
Schneider
Nix
Valdez
Martinez
Bowker
That's an awful lot of mediocrity on a team with a really high payroll. Wonder how many of them will make the roster on opening day. That is all.
Posted by: aksmith | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:25 PM
Jack: Why is Nix going to be our starting left fielder based off this move?
It seems much more likely that Wiggy and Mayberry are your starting guys until Howard is healthy. Nix is most likely taking Francisco's spot.
2 years is a little crazy but honestly I don't know what the market was for other outfielders. I do know that Nix is a pretty good defensive outfielder and will give us another guy off the bench with some pop.
Posted by: The Truth Injection | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:36 PM
Nix is a better defender than BenFran and with Raul gone, it makes more sense to have a LHB on the bench instead of a RHB like BenFran.
So that is the rationale. The only issue I have is the 2nd year.
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:39 PM
This move also makes me think that a Rollins deal is coming. Thome, Wiggy, and Schneider have all been brought in on the relative cheap. Sort of looks like they are trying to save some space for something.
Also, a possibility on the 2 years for Nix is that they view him as moving into Thome's role after Thome possibly retires (or is just gone) following the season.
Posted by: The Truth Injection | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:40 PM
NEPP - "Prediction: With Reyes off the market, Rube will panic and give Jimmy 5 years, $80 million."
Probably and condemn the franchise to mediocrity or worse in '14 and '15 with lots of money tied up guys in their mid-30s.
derek - I would rather see Nix at 1st than Wiggington. Wiggington shouldn't get the majority of PT anywhere but I have a feeling the Phils are going to give a ton of ABs next year (at least 350 ABs) and find out that's he largely cooked in the process.
Rockies couldn't get rid of him fast enough even if they had to eat more than half of his salary & get nothing in return in the process. They just wanted him off the roster.
Posted by: MG | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:42 PM
aksmith: Wigginton, Thome, Nix, and Schneider have guaranteed contracts &, since there's no utility infielder among that group, I think it's fair to assume that Valdez will be tendered a contract. That's pretty much your opening day bench.
From a power standpoint, it's a better bench than last year and, if a few things break right (i.e., Thome having another decent year in him, Wigginton bouncing back a bit), I guess it could even be an all-around decent bench. But considering that Thome is 42, Wigginton has been in serious decline for several years, Schneider was wretched last year, and Nix is wretched every year, it's pretty easy for me to imagine the bench being a constant source of Beerleaguer vitriol yet again this year.
Posted by: bay_area_phan | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:46 PM
Its no guarantee that they tender Valdez. Rube may very well "save" $300K by going with Mini-Mart instead.
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:52 PM
PREDICTION: Regardless of what Amaro does with Rollins it will be the worst move ever for many people.
He could get Rollins to sign a 3 year deal where Rollins pays us 500 dollars to play for us and people would complain it wasn't for 501 dollars.
Posted by: The Truth Injection | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:53 PM
This is not the greatest move ever, but he is an upgrade over BenFran and, as TTI noted, makes more sense on the bench with Ibanez gone.
Not sure all the whining and kvetching is necessary on this one.
Posted by: clout | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:54 PM
I hope Cholly has the good sense to realize that Nix should almost never bat against a LHP. If a RHP is in the game, but a LHP is in warming in the pen, Thome is the guy to use since he still stands a chance to get on base if the opposing manager goes to the LOOGY. Nix is the guy you use when there's a righty in the game & no LOOGY warming up in the pen.
Posted by: bay_area_phan | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 09:54 PM
BAP - The question is how many players on the Opening Day roster will be under 30 and how this compared with the Wheeze Kids of '83?
Phils started one player (Dernier in CF) who was under 30 with Maddox on the bench.
Posted by: MG | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:01 PM
"PREDICTION: Regardless of what Amaro does with Rollins it will be the worst move ever for many people.
He could get Rollins to sign a 3 year deal where Rollins pays us 500 dollars to play for us and people would complain it wasn't for 501 dollars."
There is a huge difference between giving JRoll a 3 yr/$42M deal and say a 5 yr/$70M deal.
I thought all along though that JRoll will sign for at least 4 yrs and that is where the Phils will settle (4 yrs/$52M).
It will be an overpay with the Phils getting crappy value in the last 2 years but unless the Phils want to gamble with Furcal staying healthy every other option on the FA market is a real downgrade including A. Gonzalez (who's cooked).
Posted by: MG | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:05 PM
Ceiling on JRoll seems to be about 4 yrs/$60M and my bet is the Phils resign him towards the later part of his week at slightly less.
Posted by: MG | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:10 PM
Does anyone know if Nix has an option left? Cause that would be a nice perk to have like Orr this past season.
Posted by: pb | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:13 PM
Thome's deal was 1-year, right? Another reason Nix is around past next season.
Posted by: Sophist | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:23 PM
Nothing smarter than to lock up borderline LH PH specialists two years out.
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:25 PM
If either Ty Wigginton or Laynce Nix is starting regularly for your team, it's a bad sign.
That's really the only issue I have with the signing (besides the absurd 2nd year). If I'm going to play a crappy player in LF, I would make it Dom Brown because at least maybe he improves.
Posted by: Jack | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:25 PM
Assuming the Phils re-sign Rollins, the final bench move I'd like to see is a trade for a guy like Maicer Izturis, who is versatile and solid defensively and is very respectable offensively, but with little power. Izturis is good enough to start 100 games, if necessary, when Polanco, Rollins or Utley cannot play.
Posted by: derekcarstairs | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:26 PM
paying Jimmy Rollins any more than 3/35 is nuts. just don't do it. Crack is whack, Rube.
Posted by: nonamePHame | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:27 PM
Sophist: Yeah, true, Rube needed to make sure we lock in our 24th man on the roster ahead of time. God knows we wouldn't be able to find another Laynce Nix next offseason. Below league-average hitters who can only play corner OF positions are the rarest of rare commodities.
Posted by: Jack | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:29 PM
The Reyes deal couldn't come at a better time for J-roll. Now he's in the driver's seat for anyone needing a SS with the winter meetings just beginning. I really think someone will get desperate and make a Werth type offer (not in terms of dollars/years, but in terms of being a ridiculous overpay).
RAJ has to be up for something, cause right now this team isn't as good as it was at this time last year.
Posted by: Len39 | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:31 PM
I think Jimmy is a nice guy and has been a heck of a player but Rube is nuts if he gets a suped up deal now that Miami went nuts for Reyes. I just wonder now if he does get a crazy deal or if Rube panics and talks himself into trading somebody significant away for a SS via trade.
I know I am one of the few saying this but they can get by with a SS who is a great defensively but sucks with a bat.
Posted by: Rauls grandpa | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:44 PM
Jack,
You know Nix will turn into 2008 J-Werth as soon as he takes the field for the Phils. Book it. HAHAHAHAHAHA
Posted by: Rauls grandpa | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:46 PM
you are incorrect RG. For two years now the offense has failed them when it matter most. THey can't simply get worse at their weakness and expect better results.
Posted by: nonamePHame | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:46 PM
Count me out for glove only SS.
Posted by: Bedrosian's Beard | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:48 PM
At least Nix is a solid defender in LF. That alone will make him bareable to watch over a guy like BenFran.
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:54 PM
Erick Ayber's name came up in rumors last year. I wonder what it would take to get him.
Posted by: Len39 | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:55 PM
***Erick Ayber's name came up in rumors last year. I wonder what it would take to get him.***
What's he asking for? Just add 30% more money and an extra year to that.
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:55 PM
I think reyes getting 6 yrs should help legitimize a 4 yr max length deal to jroll
Posted by: lorecore | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 10:58 PM
Jimmy was nearly a 4 win (3.8 WAR) player in 2011.
Say he has a standard decline of .5 per year over a 4 year deal. That's:
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
That's 11 Wins over the contract. At the current rate of around $5 million per win, that's right in line with a 4 year, $60 million deal.
So, in a way, that's about his real "value" from a sabermetric standpoint.
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 11:01 PM
Giving a guy that can't even aveage 130 starts a year over 3 years a 6 year deal with a $17.6 Million AAV is absurd. It will likely come back to kill the Fish...especially when they're averaging 18K attendance in 2 years.
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 11:02 PM
I am not so sure Ben is gone. Who would be the RH bat off the bench on days that RFD starts(which should be most days)? Ben had decent PH numbers last year.
Posted by: goody | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 11:03 PM
They'll just sign Pujols and Buehrley, win the WS, then trade them next December anyway.
Posted by: Bedrosian's Beard | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 11:04 PM
Wigginton is RH.
Posted by: NEPP | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 11:04 PM
Yes noname and when Rollins was the "Rollins version of great" during those "needed times" the rest of the team didn't show up and they still lost. Doesn't matter. A declining offense-great glove SS can be just as good as a mediocre or unestablished offense-great glove guy. I don't pretend to know what Rube will do.
Posted by: Rauls grandpa | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 11:28 PM
NEPP: Thanks. For some reason, I was thinking he was LH.
Posted by: goody | Sunday, December 04, 2011 at 11:33 PM
The Reyes deal isn't all that bad. He's an above-average offensive and defensive player at a premium position.
I have questions about whether he stays healthy, but there's no doubt that his performance on the field warrants the sort of contract he received.
A big deal like this is more likely to be bad than it is good, by nature. But the fact that Reyes is getting that much less than Ryan Howard, despite being a significantly better player when on the field, should put the deal in some perspective. It's not likely to turn out great, but it's at least defensible based on performance, unlike Howard's.
I would say that the Phils are in a better position to absorb a bad contract. But then I note that the Marlins have been effectively stealing money from MLB for years now--so they have to have a lot saved up, right?
Posted by: Jack | Monday, December 05, 2011 at 12:14 AM
Hopefully it's mostly a Nix/Wiggy platoon at first with Mayberry full time in LF to start the season, I don't think I'm alone in wondering what Mayberry (young and terrific ABs - something this team could use) can do over a full season.
Posted by: shaw67193 | Monday, December 05, 2011 at 12:19 AM
Actually, Goody's post about Francisco reminds me that the opening day bench probably will NOT be Nix, Wigginton, Thome, Schneider, and Valdez, as I posited earlier. After all, Howard will start the season on the DL, so one of the above will probably be in the starting lineup. That means there still could be room on the roster for Francisco or Mini-Mart. So in case anyone was worried about losing those guys, there's still hope.
Posted by: bay_area_phan | Monday, December 05, 2011 at 12:32 AM
How to turn even the most ardent Ryan Howard hater into a full-fledged Ryan Howard lover: a Laynce Nix/Ty Wigginton platoon at 1st base:
Posted by: bay_area_phan | Monday, December 05, 2011 at 12:35 AM
I don't see Wigginton or Nix as anything but marginal mediocrities at this point in their careers. Gathering up a bunch of mediocre players does not equal one good player.
Four or five wrongs don't make a right. Anyone see Nix or Wigginton being the difference maker in a playoff game? I could see Thome being that. But nobody else who has been brought in or brought back so far this year.
Posted by: aksmith | Monday, December 05, 2011 at 12:39 AM
bap: Yup. If the answer at 1B is Wigginton/Nix, I will write a post on here everyday about how much the team misses Ryan Howard. In fact, if JW lets me, I will personally write a heading post about the inestimable value of Ryan Howard and how he is a giant among men.
I won't defend the contract, of course, because. Well. That just kind of goes without saying. You'd probably be committed to a mental hospital at this point for defending the contract.
Posted by: Jack | Monday, December 05, 2011 at 01:01 AM
Bill Ladson who I assume is the Nationals version of Zolecki is reporting that the Nats also offered Nix a two year deal. Nix chose the Phils because of the chance of more playing time at 1st and of.
So there's that.
Rube wanted Nix and gave him the two years necessary It's typical Phillies behavior to covet a player and do what they have to in order to get their man. Versatility, clubhouse presence and the love of off day charity functions are more of a determinant in deciding who the Phils sign than other factors such as advanced metrics. It is how it is in the Rube era.
Posted by: Bowlcut | Monday, December 05, 2011 at 01:06 AM
Thome, Wigginton and Nix.
3 clones. All swing for the fences and all will strikeout a ton. All are past 30 and none of them have any speed.
What are we doing? Is this the plan?
Posted by: denny b. | Monday, December 05, 2011 at 03:41 AM
"A big deal like this is more likely to be bad than it is good, by nature. But the fact that Reyes is getting that much less than Ryan Howard, despite being a significantly better player when on the field, should put the deal in some perspective."
You just can't help yourself Jack can you?
Posted by: The Truth Injection | Monday, December 05, 2011 at 07:40 AM
We just suffered through a season where we had a pinch hitter who could not run the bases or play defense. So we signed Thome who fits the same bill. Then we follow that up with 2 more guys who play marginal defense and strike out a lot. Color me underwhelmed so far this off-season.
Posted by: A-Train | Monday, December 05, 2011 at 08:09 AM