As Day 3 of the Winter Meetings dawns in Las Vegas, a least one of the Phillies' targets may be getting close to signing elsewhere.
One of my favorite online features is Peter King’s Monday Morning Quarterback on SI.com. Sometimes, King offers his list of “Ten Things I Think I Think.” As a blogger with no direct connection to anything, including contact with human beings, I think I think a lot of different things. For example, I think I think that not offering arbitration to Pat Burrell was the correct move on the part of Ruben Amaro Jr., and I think I think Burrell could be hanging around the market long enough for the Phils to reconsider bringing him back on their terms. Right now, the market for Burrell, like the market for everything else these days, is reportedly ice cold.
What else do I think I think this morning? I think I think that the reported outside interest in J.A. Happ, Kyle Kendrick and Jason Donald – Donald being the hottest name among Phillies’ prospects – is a good sign that the Phils, despite their inactivity, are in very good shape to make something happen. I expect them to be blown out of the water by the Yankees for Derek Lowe; a four-year deal may be near, according to SI.com. Otherwise, I think they have far less financial insecurity than other clubs, including some of the larger market teams.
I read Bill Conlin’s piece this morning suggesting that Jamie Moyer has the Phillies over a barrel now that he’s holding them hostage over dollars and cents. I think I think I don’t entirely agree. Moyer’s stall tactic still doesn’t change the fact that it’s only Dec. 10 and the two sides, when you get down to it, are the best fit for each other.
Conlin also expressed some trepidation over dealing young talent for “a 34-year-old utility man,” and I think I think he means Mark DeRosa. I was wild about the idea at first, but consider his projections, courtesy of Rotoworld:
2008 stats: .285/.376/.481, 21 HR, 103 R, 87 RBI, 6 SB, 505 AB
2009 projection: .276/.348/.404, 11 HR, 67 R, 65 RBI, 3 SB, 497 AB
One of the latest reports says the holdup in the Jake Peavy trade appears to be coming from San Diego because they want more from the Phils’ end of the deal. The suggestion is that Chris Coste isn’t enough, or perhaps was never in San Diego's sights to start. But a second Phils' pitching prospect may be enough to tip the scales. Perhaps Kevin Towers clued into the fact that J.A. Happ and Coste for DeRosa would have been a fleecing on the part of the Phillies. Now, there’s word that Kyle Kendrick and catcher Jason Jaramillo could be part of the mix. After two full seasons in Triple-A, it’s clear that Jaramillo's ceiling is as a good handling/no-hit backup catcher, who might suit the Pads as a throw-in who wouldn’t impact the Phillies greatly. But when more and more young pitching gets throwing into the rumor mill, depth they'll definitely need if Moyer cannot be convinced, it might be more than the veteran DeRosa is worth.
Now the latest, setting up a potential bidding war for DeRosa: The Twins have entered the Jake Peavy trade mix, as they're interested in acquiring DeRosa to play third and have the young pitching San Diego wants. (Source: Minneapolis Star-Tribune)