The Phillies have overcome adversity all season and face the ultimate test the next five days. With the playoffs in sight, the Phils try to find the winning touch when they continue their series with the Braves.
Scheduled starters: Tim Hudson (16-9, 3.34) vs. Kyle Lohse (8-12, 4.71)
Game chat: Before I get into Hudson, let’s talk about Lohse, who hasn’t been a topic of conversation much since the Phillies acquired him for left-hander Matt Maloney just before the trade deadline. For me, tonight’s start will tip the scale between satisfaction and disappointment in his acquisition. Pat Gillick did the right thing by trading for help in the rotation. No question, but it's not the issue. The issue is whether Lohse has given them enough. I’m on the fence. We all read how Lohse could be dominant, and truth be told, we haven't seen it. Actually, he has yet to last seven innings in pinstripes and has only won twice. Lohse really has no excuse not to be prepared for tonight. This is his last scheduled start before he hits free agency should the Phils miss the post-season. He's been an average pickup truthfully and hasn't done anything but hurt the bullpen lately. In five September appearances, four as a starter, he has a 6.10 ERA, 1.79 WHIP, .326 BAA.
Now Hudson. To me, he’s been surprising. With his numbers dropping significantly in 2006, I thought he was at a point in his career where the innings had finally caught up with him. Wrong (again). He’s about to pitch the most innings since 2003 in Oakland, and his numbers are on par with the best of his career. Hudson, in front of a healthy starting eight for the Braves, is perhaps the best combination in the National League right now. The Phillies have indeed had a share of success against Hudson, including a three-homer outburst by Ryan Howard last season. Are the Phillies up for the challenge again?
J-Roll makes history: Last night, Jimmy Rollins slugged his 30th homer of the season, making him only the second player in franchise history to have 30 homers and 30 stolen bases in the same season (Bobby Abreu, 2001 & 2004), and the second player to do it this season (David Wright). Rollins is also just the third shortstop in MLB history to accomplish the feat, joining Barry Larkin in 1996 and Alex Rodriguez in 1998. J-Roll is also on pace to set the record for most at-bats in a season, currently held by Willie Wilson (705 in 1980 for KC).




One ray of hope:
While Hudson has pitched fairly well this month, in general he has posted below average Sept. numbers in his career.
You have to go all the way back to 2002 to the last time that he posted dominant numbers in Sept. Makes sense and I know that the A's were always worried that Hudson's mechanics/build were a reason that he wore down a bit as the season progressed.
Here is hoping that Hudson doesn't bring his "A" game stuff because the Phils won't have a shot tonight if he does.
Posted by: MG | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 04:45 PM
Reposting from previous thread:
In my view, the Braves have colossally underachieved this year.
No way Werth should start the next two games. Manuel has to go to Bourn, or possibly Victorino even if he's 60%. Werth isn't going to do a thing against Hudson or Smoltz. Those three righties down towards the bottom - Rowand, Werth, Ruiz - have not been giving the Phillies much and Manuel needs to break that up with a LH contact bat. But will he? I doubt it.
I'm glad Rollins' 30/30 has been mentioned here, because it shouldn't be lost in the shuffle the was it has. That's a major accomplishment. In the earlier part of the decade, I thought that he might push 20 homers someday. Instead, he's gone on to become one of the best players in all of baseball.
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:07 PM
Here we go again. Hoping against hope that the Phils can pull yet another couple of miracles out of their bag of tricks. But as I look at Lohse setting up against Hudson, and all the pressure on the Phils (if last night's game was a must win, which it was, what is tonight?) I don't have a good feeling. Braves seem confident and to be playing with a sort of "Even though the Phils are ahead of us, we all know we're really the better team, let's have a little fun & show those CBP yokels where to stick it" 'tude. It's going to be a nervous/frustrating/exhilarating/whatever six or seven hours.
Posted by: Bob | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:13 PM
More reason for pessimism: the Padres have Jake Peavy on the mound tonight against the horifically bad Giants' offense. The only good news is that at least Bonds will be back in the lineup & highly motivated, since this is the last home game of his Giants career. I'm no Bonds fan, but I will be tonight -- and not because it's his last home game.
Posted by: bay_area_phan | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:19 PM
Just for the hell of it, my understanding of how a 3-way WC tie would be determined:
-- Assuming the 3 teams are Pads,Rox and Phils: Rox won season series from Pads (10-8) and Phils (4-3). Phils won over Pads (4-3).
-- Teams are designated A, B & C. B plays at A on Mon., 10/1. Winner plays at home against C on Tues. 10/2.
-- Rox get to choose which designation they want: A, B or C.
-- Phils choose between the two remaining.
-- Pads get what's left.
As GM, given this scenario, which would you choose? Team A to get home field, but have to win two games to get into the playoffs, or Team C, playing 1 winner-take-all game on the road?
I think it's pretty obviously C, to get the day off and take a slightly more-rested pitching staff into the Tuesday game. But playing at home is a big plus.
Other thoughts? (This has never happened, has it?)
Posted by: Sam Fan | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:20 PM
diggity: one rockies player helpd with the tarp - LaTroy Hawkins.
Hawkins is a mediocre middle reliver who's a free agent this year. Since arriving in Colorado he's learned how to throw ground balls. Maybe we should sign him. Of course his command sucks, but around here, that's a standard expectation.
(I'm not serious. But karma...)
(Karma might mean he's the winning pitcher in colorado's next five games, too.)
Posted by: Andy | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:22 PM
Werth is 3 for his last 23 with 12 K's.
If Vic is healthy, give him the start tonight. Put as many lefties in the lineup as possible against Hudson. McCann can't throw, so putting speed at the top of the order would be smart.
Vic was having a hell of a year. It seems some in the organization (the manager) have forgotten it.
Posted by: denny b. | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:23 PM
Dobbs usually bats between Rowand and Werth, true. But not much from him, either.
Perhaps Manuel doesn't feel Bourn can play right field? He doesn't have an arm for it. But I think the point is moreover to generate more offense against tough right-handed pitching. I would hit him eighth, or Victorino sixth.
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:25 PM
Sam Fan: If you're San Diego, who wouldn't get to choose, you want home field, because their stadium is the most unlike anyone else's. But I'm guessing, if I were Colorado, I'd choose the one game away, one game, obviously, is easier to win than two games. So the Phils might have to play two games but get them both at the Zen.
Posted by: Andy | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:26 PM
Really, Jason, on the NCAA ad, I want about 5 more seconds of the cheerleaders dancing - can't you talk to them?
Posted by: Andy | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:26 PM
Hudson against teams over .500 this year...
7-7 record
112 IP
54 ER
He has feasted on the light-hitting, bad teams.
Get after him.
Posted by: denny b. | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:31 PM
Lohse against teams over .500 ths year...
4-5 record
101 IP
54 ER
Not much difference between him and Hudson's numbers.
Posted by: denny b. | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:36 PM
denny b - good research.
Posted by: Andy | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:36 PM
Since Any wants cheerleaders, Jason should have a continuous 15 minute cheerleader loop floating screen that follows us down the page as we scroll to make comment #598 in each thread.
Posted by: Lake Fred | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:38 PM
I can't type worth an Eaton Crap. I meant "Since Andy wants cheerleaders".
Posted by: Lake Fred | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:39 PM
Yeah good research denny b. Phillies phans finding ways to optimistic. Wow. I'm going out on alimb here.......I say Phils win today.
Lake Fred - Thats a great idea.
Posted by: BloodStripes | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:44 PM
Smoltz is 8-4 against teams over .500 with 47 ER in 125 IP.
Kendrick is 4-3 against teams over .500 with 26 ER in 55 IP (more in line with Hudson's numbers).
Hamels, just for fun, is 6-3 against teams over .500 with numbers similar to Smoltz.
Posted by: denny b. | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:46 PM
Lineups
Phils
1. J Rollins, SS
2. C Utley, 2B
3. P Burrell, LF
4. R Howard, 1B
5. A Rowand, CF
6. G Dobbs, 3B
7. J Werth, RF
8. C Ruiz, C
9. K Lohse, P
Braves
1. K Johnson, 2B
2. E Renteria, SS
3. C Jones, 3B
4. M Teixeira, 1B
5. B McCann, C
6. J Francoeur, RF
7. A Jones, CF
8. M Diaz, LF
9. T Hudson, P
Posted by: Billy Mac | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:48 PM
Vic has to be hurting real bad for Werth to be starting tonight
Posted by: Ben Keeler | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:51 PM
I love the no-Nunez line up!!!
I think the positive spin on the Peavy start is that he would not be slated to toe the rubber against the Brewers, a far tougher series. I'm willing to concede a Pads win tonight (better yet, a Peavy loss could be HUGE), coupled with a motivated Brew-crew getting the rest of the staff and depleted Bradley/Cameron-less lineup.
Of course, the obvious downside would be Peavy's likelihood to pitch in a tie break game. Scary.
Posted by: Willard Preacher | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:55 PM
Being as I have thrown in the towel on the Phillies no fewer than 4,856 times this season, I wouldn't expect anything less than the dramatics with which it will take to pull off a postseason appearance. For some reason, there is nothing about cheering for the Philadelphia Phillies that would lead me to believe it would be any different than exactly this.
Posted by: Willard Preacher | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 05:57 PM
Cholly's saving No Hit Nuni for late innning crucial pinch hitting for Alfonseca. The lineup does look front loaded, which is a good thing.
On this latest stint in Houston, I was sure to bring my Saints cap (big waste) for Monday night football, but left my fine red Phillies brim on my dresser top in Louisiana. Drats! Go Phillies. I'll be computerless tonight. Carry on withou me.
Posted by: Lake Fred | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 06:02 PM
I said a few days ago that the rest of the season would be almost all luck... and it still is mostly luck. Don't get too worked up about every team's matchups, just enjoy the ride.
Posted by: Dave X | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 06:04 PM
Thats it Dave X. Enjoy the ride for what it is. The way we hang hope and happiness on external things we can't control like Phillies wins is fraught with danger. At least these games are meaningful and the Phils still are a big chance.
Posted by: BloodStripes | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 06:27 PM
1) Can anyone calling for Vic tell me he's healthy? When was the last time he spent an inning in the field? Last time he was on base, Helms pinch ran for him.
2) Werth has 2 hits in 6 AB aganist Hudson in his career. Small sample size, but it's not like he hasn't had any success.
3) If Vic's still able to swing a bat, but it's the sustained running that's a problem, it sure is nice to have a switch hitting bat to bring off the bench.
Posted by: CJ | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 06:28 PM
Dave X: Dead on.
It's not about games that we're supposed to win or supposed to lose. No game is played on paper.
It's about the games we actually win or lose... and the games against Smoltz and Hudson haven't been played yet. If this team does often play to the level of the competition, tonight's a good night to show it!
Posted by: CJ | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 06:29 PM
Dave X, then let's hope that Cholly will do his best to keep luck on the Phils' side. In my opinion, the skills dictated the game last night.
Posted by: Billy Mac | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 06:50 PM
Billy Mac: The skills usually help dictate the game... but had something broken the other way, the game could have been very different. For instance, had that strike call gone the other way... no three run homer for Texieria, and who knows how the game plays out.
You make your breaks, I get that... but when the margin is this close, you need the breaks.
Posted by: CJ | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 06:56 PM
Fasten your seat belts. It's gonna be a bumpy night!
Posted by: JD | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:01 PM
Better start getting that fastball down, Kyle.
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:11 PM
Huge.
Posted by: Parker | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:12 PM
A put-out pitch! Didn't think we'd see that tonight against anyone except the 9-spot. Funny to see Renteria try to call time there when he was out by a mile. . .
Posted by: Sophist | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:13 PM
So far so good!!!
Posted by: attytood will | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:13 PM
Perfect pitch, he had thrown him all hard stuff and then dove a changeup away from him on the outer half. A better start tonight.
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:13 PM
Let's go, Mr. MVP
Posted by: JD | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:15 PM
So much for keeping him off the bases!!!
Posted by: Parker | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:16 PM
Will he hit a double to lead off tomorrow?
Posted by: Sophist | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:17 PM
wow - 1 shy of the 30-20-30-30
Posted by: ajc1 | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:17 PM
Woo-hoo! Now that J-Roll has 30n HRs guess he's workin on the 3bs.
Posted by: Andy | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:17 PM
As Steely Dan once said, Hey, 19!" (triples)
Posted by: attytood will | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:17 PM
Notice how Rollins doesn't go after bad pitches any more? That's the whole difference in his game the last two years.
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:18 PM
D'oh
Posted by: thrillhouse26 | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:18 PM
What the heck, I was looking down, what happened there?
Posted by: Parker | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:18 PM
Jeez, of all times for Smith to play it conservatively!
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:18 PM
WTF!!! god damn umpires, SEND HIM THERE SMITH
Posted by: madubbs | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:19 PM
actually, 1 triple and 2 doubles short of a 30 HR, 20 triple, 40 double, 35+ SB season - damn.
Posted by: ajc1 | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:19 PM
I'm sorry, you have to send Rollins there. You don't want to leave it up to Burrell against Hudson.
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:19 PM
aw no
Posted by: ajc1 | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:21 PM
Wow, the Phils are getting no Home Ballpark friendly calls yet this series
Posted by: Mr. Mac | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:21 PM
Steve Smith is the same damn bonehead he was in April. Ridiculous! Who else in the ballpark doesn't send the runner there?! ARGH
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:21 PM
Nice!
Posted by: JD | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:22 PM
Leave it to Howard.
Posted by: Josh M | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:22 PM
Howaaad!!!
Posted by: Parker | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:22 PM
If they don't get Rollins home, I'm going to put my fist through this computer monitor.
Posted by: bay_area_phan | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:22 PM
did rowand just take a pitch?
Posted by: madubbs | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:22 PM
Stupidity reigns. Why do you pitch to Howard there? Are you dense, Cox? Rowand's swinging at hot dog wrappers up there.
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:22 PM
BAP, it's too early to break your monitor. Wait a while
Posted by: JD | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:23 PM
Stupid Phillips don't forget we got a few HRs out of 2B. Moron
Posted by: thrillhouse26 | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:23 PM
These umpires have to call this game a hell of alot better then last night and so far , no dice
Posted by: madubbs | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:23 PM
Howard just saved me the $300 cost of a new monitor.
Posted by: bay_area_phan | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:23 PM
JD: Actually, the appropriate time to break my monitor was after last night's game. So if I had done it now, it wouldn't have been too early, but too late.
Posted by: bay_area_phan | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:25 PM
Nice, getting some breaks. Lets break Hudson, AKA "Zed."
Posted by: Parker | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:25 PM
Here's to hoping that the Braves start to field like the Met's did.
Posted by: Mr. Mac | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:25 PM
The Phillies are getting some good swings at Hudson early.
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:25 PM
Mets 3-0... Beltran and Alou homered.
Posted by: CJ | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:26 PM
BAP, good point, but since you didnt do it last night, might as well keep it a little while longer
Posted by: JD | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:26 PM
Mets 3-0 in the 1st
Posted by: JD | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:26 PM
Mets 3-0 B1.
Posted by: Josh M | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:26 PM
Hope we get that call all night, too.
Posted by: CJ | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:27 PM
Zed's wounded, but not dead yet.
Posted by: Parker | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:27 PM
Ouch ! Well, they got on the board early, so it's a good start
Posted by: JD | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:27 PM
Dobbs is making a quick rise up my Phillies sh*t list.
Posted by: bay_area_phan | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:29 PM
I don't think Rollins' decision not to run had anything to do with Smith. He did go afterall, and then turned back all on his own. No way Smith is yelling at him to come back there. He was watching the whole way.
I can't believe Howard made contact on that ball and managed to hit it hard up the middle. For all his strikeouts, he hits some nasty pitches very well.
Burrell was ruined by the check-swing call. ESPN didn't even bother to show the replay, so I don't know if it was close. But it certainly made things difficult.
Hudson threw 22 pitches that inning, went through to the Phils 6th batter. Lohse is getting ahead of batters, and then letting them hang in, as usual.
Posted by: Sophist | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:31 PM
BAP, he hasn't had a lot of hits lately (As in, early this week) but I don't know what you wanted him to do with that pitch. Nobody was hitting that pitch, just have to hope it is called a ball. I thought it was a ball.
Nice pitching by Lohse
Posted by: Parker | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:31 PM
Nice pitch!
Posted by: JD | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:32 PM
- The thing that killed the Phils last night was that Atlanta got a little life breathed into them. I would like it better if they were just playing out the string.
- The team that scares me the most though, we're not even playing. The Rockies are doing just that. Rockin it right now.
- A big game by Lohse might mean the difference of signing him or not for next year? Any thoughts?
Posted by: Mr. Mac | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:33 PM
The Burrell call wasn't a good call. He didnt go around
Posted by: JD | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:33 PM
Right JD. And Moyer got screwed last night by NOT getting the strike calls either. The umps have a natural bias towards the Braves, reigning NL East power and all.
Posted by: Mr. Mac | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:36 PM
Nice pitching Lohse.
Posted by: Parker | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:36 PM
Another excellent pitch by Lohse.
Posted by: JD | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:37 PM
Lohse has gotten a few swinging strikes on that low breaker.
Posted by: Sophist | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:37 PM
Ah...the old Juan Samuel strikeout pitch.
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:37 PM
Hopefully, Boras has the heat on Lohse to pitch well for the rest of the year.
Posted by: Sophist | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:38 PM
lohse is dealin'. at least for now. peter gammons has always spoken glowingly of his stuff, its just yet to materialize. let's hope it does for 5 more innings tonite. with the heat, i could see a few more phils runs having this braves team pack it in. come on bats!
Posted by: jazzy jeff | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:38 PM
We need the "Black Hole" to pull in Hudson.
Posted by: Parker | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:38 PM
Sophist, that looked like the coach's call to me. Though it isn't possible to definitively tell from our vantage points. If you're Rollins, I think you have to go a little further down the line there.
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:39 PM
It worked out okay, so it doesn't matter now, but it could have been a bad mistake. This is no time to play back on your heels. With Rollins' speed, that's a risk you need to take.
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:40 PM
Lohse's breaking ball looking good tonight, but I'm not counting on it to stick around.
Beautiful hit by Howard...those are the kind of hits that drove his average above .300 last year. Not sure why Cox would pitch to him there instead of Rowand.
Posted by: IceMan | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:41 PM
Must be a full moon. Ruiz just took the first 4 pitches.
Posted by: Sophist | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:41 PM
RSB - I don't know if it was a mistake or not, but it didn't seem obvious to me whether it was Rollins' call or Smith's influence just from watching.
Posted by: Sophist | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:42 PM
To me, it looked like Rollins put the brakes on.
Posted by: JD | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:43 PM
RSB: "A little further down the Line"
What do you mean by that? He was tagging, so he had to be back to the bag before he could start running. Although I'm not sure that is what you are talking about. If you mean that he needed to get closer to the plate, I think he thought that McCann was going to catch that ball on the line. If that did happen then he would have easily been tagged out. I'm just not clear on what you are saying.
Posted by: Parker | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:43 PM
i just threw up watching that SD highlight
Posted by: rmp | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:46 PM
I meant Rollins has to come down farther to gauge what kind of throw it is. After he'd tagged up, obviously. It was in the air a long time and it was a fly out off the bat.
Posted by: RSB | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:51 PM
renteria definitely wasn't this good for Boston
Posted by: fljerry | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:52 PM
I know it's early, but Lohse looks good so far.
Posted by: JD | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:52 PM
Again, what the heck!?
Posted by: Parker | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:58 PM
If Chipper gets out then Teixera better get beamed next inning.
Posted by: Brian G | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:59 PM
Another one. Amazing.
Posted by: Andy | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 07:59 PM
I'd rather wait and bean Hudson.
Posted by: Andy | Wednesday, September 26, 2007 at 08:00 PM