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Wednesday, March 01, 2006

Comments

Nice work, Jason. Stargell won two rings and ultimately became the clubhouse leader. I wouldn't mind similar statistics, hardware, and attitude from "Big 6."

Despite all the opposite-field homers and strikeouts, I didn't have the impression that Howard's bat speed was poor. I just think he waits on the ball exceptionally well. If he could turn on a few more inside pitches, he really could hit 50 homers, because he has terrific plate coverage as it is and doesn't rely on being a dead pull hitter the way most power guys do. For this year, I'd predict about 35 or so, with a lower average. I wouldn't be surprised if he goes through long droughts and I'm glad for this reason that the Phils don't have to hit him higher than sixth yet. In the long run, though, it's clear he has the potential to be a 400-homerun guy who could hit .300 now and then with more contact. It's exciting to consider.

Awesome post, This is exactly what I have come to love about the Beerleauger. Is the BP sold in your typical book stores or only available online?

BP and their talented staff did most of the work, but thank you. I'm glad you enjoyed it. My goal was to turn BP's data into a news article anyone could enjoy regardless of their familiarity with advanced stats. I also found this to be a very newsworthy item. If this doesn't get people jacked up about the Howard and the season, I don't know what will.

Enrico, I pre-ordered my copy on Amazon back in October and got a nice deal on it, but they also sell it at Barnes & Noble. You can click on the link on the right sidebar to order it. It's worth it. I will use mine all season. I'm also waiting for the new ESPN Encyclopedia.

Fantastic article. I enjoyed it a lot.

I don't buy the projections simply because they draw from a very small sample size. But even if they are off, it still translates into a very good year. He will be fun to watch, no doubt.

Following the dead-on prediction of Wily Mo Pena's break-out 2 years ago, none may ever doubt the powers of PECOTA again. All hail PECOTA!

Looks like 2 homers already in the bank for Howard this spring. PECOTA may be onto something...

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EST. 2005

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