Long after the Phillies select a new general manager, Ed Wade’s John Hancock will remain etched in stone.
Thanks to Wade, the Phillies have $77.75 million locked in with 11 players next season, a figure many of us have committed to memory. Several of those players, namely the older veterans, have no-trade clauses, and the highest-paid pitcher, Randy Wolf, could miss the entire season recovering from Tommy John surgery.
The new GM inherits a pretty good Phillies team on the verge of being a great one, but also takes over tough issues regarding Jim Thome and Billy Wagner, along with an unpopular manager entering the second year of his contract.
But the most pressing issue is the same as it was a day ago: they need better starting pitching. It’s the easiest fix to get them closer to the postseason. That’s the primary goal, and it will take serious baseball smarts to make a maneuver to get some.
Drastic change, organization-wide, could be years away, but know this: the Phillies played good baseball down the stretch and outperformed expectations under first-year manager Charlie Manuel. They got younger and more dynamic at second base and first base, and got some unexpected production from replacement-level pitchers in the starting rotation.
Wade assembled a squad that was good, but not good enough. Better pitching to consistently guide them through seven innings or more - arms to keep the bullpen fresh - was the biggest deficiency this season. Address that area, and they’ll be division favorites, regardless of manager.
Is it necessary to change managers?
I don’t fully understand why beginning the season with Manuel is out of the question. Ideally, you want to start hot, and the team played confident, clutch baseball down the stretch. A new manager means yet another spring adjustment period. I don't want another April like the last one. The team that ended 2005 is one that I trust, at least on offense. I liked the way they played in September, and enjoyed watching players like Utley, Howard and Rollins carry the team on their young backs. They’ll all be back, and so should Manuel – provided he takes a winter course in tactical managing.
Who shouldn’t return?
Jim Thome, but it’s clear that a corner outfielder must be shopped to land some additional pitching. I see two gaping holes in the starting rotation next season: one from the absence of Wolf, and the other from the potential non-tender of Vicente Padilla. That leaves Jon Lieber, Cory Lidle, Brett Myers, and a handful of unproven candidates.
The balance between position players and pitchers is too skewed toward the bats, and both Pat Burrell and Bobby Abreu have reached an age when their production has probably topped off. Even Abreu, who has been steady throughout his career, will begin to drop next season. That's not unexpected for a player with speed turning 32. His lack of power down the stretch was also a disturbing trend.
I’ve gone back and forth on which corner outfielder would be better to trade, and after his production disappeared after the all-star break, Abreu is probably the best candidate to change settings. He’ll fetch a better price than Burrell and should be easier to move, and if the Phils are going full-scale PR overhaul, why not put another unpopular body on the chopping block?
Still, shop them both. Out with old thinking, and in with the new. No more untouchables. No more "championship caliber."




Bingo, bingo, bingo -- especially regarding the starters. The bullpen was really stretched thin at the end of the season, and given it was typically called into games in the fifth or sixth, it's easy to understand why.
Posted by: Tom Durso | Tuesday, October 11, 2005 at 12:15 PM
I dont know that I trust the team that played in September. Playing well in Sept can sometimes be fools gold, especially when other teams routinely play people ont he latter side of the 40 man roster....
As to Manuel, if I were the new GM I would probably start with him, BUT with a VERY short leash.
Posted by: | Tuesday, October 11, 2005 at 01:03 PM
That trade for Torri Hunter still intrigues me. Is there anyway we can get Hunter as a replacement for whoever leaves our outfield without giving up Howard?
Posted by: Cliff | Tuesday, October 11, 2005 at 04:22 PM
How about shop Burrell and Abreu, and pursue Johny Damon?
Posted by: Cliff | Tuesday, October 11, 2005 at 04:27 PM
Only just caught up with this (have not been coping with Ireland's inability to show up and play football matches - currently in ireland for tomorrow's equivalent of game 162 for the phillies). Crazy.
I guess this means that Billy W will definitely not be back. Presume this has been mentioned already, but either Monty doesn't want to keep Wagner, or is about to throw money at a problem. Or option c which is he's made the unwise move of firing a GM who at least had a plan in place for negotations. All three are unpalatable options.
Posted by: Oisin | Tuesday, October 11, 2005 at 07:43 PM