What were the odds of David Bell hitting a game-winning two home run Friday night against the Reds? Very slim, and so are the Phils chances to make the postseason.
From David Cohen of The Good Phight, here are the scenarios:
If the Astros win 3 or more of their remaining 5 games: Phils cannot make the playoffs.
If the Phils win 0 or 1 of their remaining 4 games: Phils cannot make the playoffs.
If the Phils go 2-2: They force a one-game playoff with the Astros only if the Astros lose all 5 remaining games.
If the Phils go 3-1: They make the playoffs outright only if the Astros go winless in the remaining five; they force a one-game playoff if the Astros go 1-4.
If the Phils sweep their remaining games and go 4-0: They make the playoffs if the Astros go 0-5 or 1-4; they force a one-game playoff if the Astros go 2-3.
Baseball Prospectus puts the Phils odds at making the playoffs at 5.7 percent.
Sad but true
For all this talk about how much heart the team had in September, they still just went 13-12, as gr pointed out in the comments section of Shallow Center. Hpfh.
to Sports Illustrated for putting the Phillies on their cover last week. And McNabb, who could be headed for surgery. Thanks for hexing our teams and players, SI.